2021 Worlds are still on | Page 13 | Golden Skate

2021 Worlds are still on

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I doubt the tennis itself will be cancelled, as the athletes are designated as "essential workers". But the ability to view them in person will.
Yes, they'll be no crowds once the lockdown begins. Although there's some question about tonight and what happens if a game is still going on with crowds. One assumes people attending will be able to stay. But who knows.

This is bad news though, the UK strain is here...:( There's quite a lot of concern because someone who tested positive worked at a cafe in the Melbourne Airport, so basically the warning is out for anyone who was in the airport at the time to get a test and be extra careful. 7,000 people from my state (New South Wales) could have been exposed. Quite concerning.

This is also why having a negative test before going to Sweden might not be a silver bullet, especially if it's a commercial flight that doesn't require everyone to have a negative test. Even then someone could be carrying the virus and not know it and the test may not have picked it up, next thing you know, it's spread throughout the plane.
 
The last comment gets it. I don't think the Russian government cares about anything other than "being perceived as better than the West", thus the rushed-through vaccine. We are also talking about a government that has not been truthfully reporting its numbers, rather recording them as pneumonia.
It is sad to see how confident and deeply mistaken you are in the real understanding of Russia and its government.
 
For athletes, it is enough to make requirements for the presence of antibodies against the virus and that's it.
I’m not an expert at the whole antibodies thing, but what happens if you don’t have antibodies? As far as I’m aware antibodies are something you get after you’ve had the virus. If you haven’t had the virus, then what? And not everyone gets antibodies either. Plus there are a few different types that do different things. They don’t last forever. A person can’t control weather or not they get antibodies. I don’t think that’s fair. I think that once the vaccine becomes more widespread, then maybe, but let’s see. For now, bubbles and testing upon arrival, and quarantines are the best we can do, but they need to be better then what is currently in place for World’s now.
 
I’m not an expert at the whole antibodies thing, but what happens if you don’t have antibodies? As far as I’m aware antibodies are something you get after you’ve had the virus. If you haven’t had the virus, then what? And not everyone gets antibodies either. Plus there are a few different types that do different things. They don’t last forever. A person can’t control weather or not they get antibodies. I don’t think that’s fair. I think that once the vaccine becomes more widespread, then maybe, but let’s see. For now, bubbles and testing upon arrival, and quarantines are the best we can do, but they need to be better then what is currently in place for World’s now.
It can seem paradoxical, but people who don't make antibodies after a vaccine can be better protected than those who do, if the reason for their not making antibodies is that their lymphocytes were so efficient that they destroyed the vaccine virus before any antibody have been necessary. At least, these are better protected as long as they are in good health. If for a reason or another (illness, exhaustion...) their lymphocytes weaken, they are likely to catch everything because they have so few antibodies. This might be rarer with athletes, who basically get exhausted 6 days per week.
As to those who do have antibodies, it doesn't prevent them from catching the illness, it allows their body to fight it better (unless they have ADE or ERD etc), and whatever the maker, I have seen no test of contagiosity to this date. Intuitively we think that they must be less contagious, but 1) they may think it too and become imprudent (true for natural as well as artificial immunity), 2) a survey has shown (for flu, not for CoViD, but a similar survey should be conducted about all immunity devices proposed for CoViD) that when somebody catch flu in spite of being vaccinated, they shed in average 6 times more virus than those who caught it without being vaccinated, therefore they are more contagious, and we have no graph, no model showing a) how much more a person who catches CoViD in spite of two doses sheds virus, compared to a person who had no dose and caught it too; b) from what level of efficacy this allows a lowering of the number of cases (and of serious cases); 3) the apparition of those three strains of variants in the same three countries (UK, South Africa and Brazil) where one vaccine (which had proven quite inefficient, at least in its first modality) has been tested last Summer and Autumn, with most mutations concentrated on the spike protein targeted by vaccines, shows there is a possibility of contagion, as these strains, to accumulate mutations, must have circulated chiefly among vaccinated people (not necessarily after the second jab), as well as the apparition of the "very latest" variant in UK, where so many people got only one jab (the E484K mutation had also appeared, among others on the same person, on a Boston patient who got both spike-targeted antibodies at the same time as Remdesivir, a known mutagen, he was treated just as a laboratory mouse except nobody seems to have made murine tests); 4) the potential presence of new strains among participants and staff, for which I saw no efficiency data from any vaccine/device would likely make vaccinated people become super-incubators of newer strains, given past experience.
Also, the trials tested the presence of antibodies and the apparition of mild symptoms, nothing else, particularly not hospitalisations and deaths.
Also, there were plans to test ADE on mice, ferrets and non-human primates, and most were not done — or not released. It must be said that we had communications asserting there wouldn't be ADE because CoViD didn't attack macrophages, which happened to be wrong (but WHO had forbidden any autopsy of CoViD patients, very few scientists managed to escape the prohibition; why?) It was also planned to check ADE during one year for trial participants, this was not done either : as tests didn't check ADE, and furthermore, 2-3 months after their injections, the placebo groups for Moderna and Pfizer received proposals for a "true jab", thus crushing any chance of complying with this (already light) plan.

As to the efficiency of the Russian vaccine. It is, like Oxford/AstraZeneca an adenovirus-based recombined vaccine, and of course those who already have antibodies against the type of adenovirus (common cold) in such vaccines, are likely to fight it with these antibodies they already have, without building antibodies against CoViD 19 spike protein. BUT the Russian one has a different sort of adenovirus in each jab, which reduces the rate of unprotected people, compared with those which rely on only one sort of adenovirus in both jabs. This is why, compared with others, the efficiency rate they published seemed quite realistic and I have no reason to doubt it more than the others (mind you, big business doesn't bring perfect honesty when billions are at stake, remember Remdesivir). Surveys are usually published without testing replicability by other teams, it is after publication that these tests occur.
This being said, as anything targeting specifically the spike protein in CoViD 19, this published efficiency is only for "normal strains" and the efficiency against new strains is likely to be lower, or very much lower, as said above.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32661-1/fulltext
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2031364
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7247514/
https://stm.sciencemag.org/content/12/568/eabe0948

It is likely that CoViD vaccines/devices offer a very partial protection for oneself and others, particularly against new strains, and particularly when compared to prevention, whether mechanical (social distanciation, washing hands, wearing masks in some places/times, air filtration in closed spaces...) or (for people with regular immune system) by keeping good levels of nutrients essential to immunity (I have seen surveys only about each of them, irrespective of participants other nutrients status, a good level of all of them must grant a high level of immunity) such as vitamins C, D3, K2 and Zinc, quercetin and maybe melatonin. For people at risk, or taking care of frail people, Ivermectin alone too, has shown a level of protection of 90% in prophylaxy, some trials have shown that treated people have a lower viral charge if they get infected in spite of it, and there is no reason for their shedding more virus when ill, or for being less efficient against new strains, which are strong advantages, the inconvenient being, from the protocols seen and advice read regarding new strains, they must be taken weekly (after a day 1 + day 3 start) while vaccines would have to be taken "only" twice yearly or yearly. The combination of all must be very very high.
https://scitechdaily.com/encouragin...in-clinical-trial-for-reducing-mild-covid-19/
https://ivmmeta.com/
(too many surveys about vitamins and minerals, for CoViD and other infections diseases)
 
It can seem paradoxical, but people who don't make antibodies after a vaccine can be better protected than those who do, if the reason for their not making antibodies is that their lymphocytes were so efficient that they destroyed the vaccine virus before any antibody have been necessary. At least, these are better protected as long as they are in good health. If for a reason or another (illness, exhaustion...) their lymphocytes weaken, they are likely to catch everything because they have so few antibodies. This might be rarer with athletes, who basically get exhausted 6 days per week.
As to those who do have antibodies, it doesn't prevent them from catching the illness, it allows their body to fight it better (unless they have ADE or ERD etc), and whatever the maker, I have seen no test of contagiosity to this date. Intuitively we think that they must be less contagious, but 1) they may think it too and become imprudent (true for natural as well as artificial immunity), 2) a survey has shown (for flu, not for CoViD, but a similar survey should be conducted about all immunity devices proposed for CoViD) that when somebody catch flu in spite of being vaccinated, they shed in average 6 times more virus than those who caught it without being vaccinated, therefore they are more contagious, and we have no graph, no model showing a) how much more a person who catches CoViD in spite of two doses sheds virus, compared to a person who had no dose and caught it too; b) from what level of efficacy this allows a lowering of the number of cases (and of serious cases); 3) the apparition of those three strains of variants in the same three countries (UK, South Africa and Brazil) where one vaccine (which had proven quite inefficient, at least in its first modality) has been tested last Summer and Autumn, with most mutations concentrated on the spike protein targeted by vaccines, shows there is a possibility of contagion, as these strains, to accumulate mutations, must have circulated chiefly among vaccinated people (not necessarily after the second jab), as well as the apparition of the "very latest" variant in UK, where so many people got only one jab (the E484K mutation had also appeared, among others on the same person, on a Boston patient who got both spike-targeted antibodies at the same time as Remdesivir, a known mutagen, he was treated just as a laboratory mouse except nobody seems to have made murine tests); 4) the potential presence of new strains among participants and staff, for which I saw no efficiency data from any vaccine/device would likely make vaccinated people become super-incubators of newer strains, given past experience.
Also, the trials tested the presence of antibodies and the apparition of mild symptoms, nothing else, particularly not hospitalisations and deaths.
Also, there were plans to test ADE on mice, ferrets and non-human primates, and most were not done — or not released. It must be said that we had communications asserting there wouldn't be ADE because CoViD didn't attack macrophages, which happened to be wrong (but WHO had forbidden any autopsy of CoViD patients, very few scientists managed to escape the prohibition; why?) It was also planned to check ADE during one year for trial participants, this was not done either : as tests didn't check ADE, and furthermore, 2-3 months after their injections, the placebo groups for Moderna and Pfizer received proposals for a "true jab", thus crushing any chance of complying with this (already light) plan.

As to the efficiency of the Russian vaccine. It is, like Oxford/AstraZeneca an adenovirus-based recombined vaccine, and of course those who already have antibodies against the type of adenovirus (common cold) in such vaccines, are likely to fight it with these antibodies they already have, without building antibodies against CoViD 19 spike protein. BUT the Russian one has a different sort of adenovirus in each jab, which reduces the rate of unprotected people, compared with those which rely on only one sort of adenovirus in both jabs. This is why, compared with others, the efficiency rate they published seemed quite realistic and I have no reason to doubt it more than the others (mind you, big business doesn't bring perfect honesty when billions are at stake, remember Remdesivir). Surveys are usually published without testing replicability by other teams, it is after publication that these tests occur.
This being said, as anything targeting specifically the spike protein in CoViD 19, this published efficiency is only for "normal strains" and the efficiency against new strains is likely to be lower, or very much lower, as said above.

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)32661-1/fulltext
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2031364
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7247514/
https://stm.sciencemag.org/content/12/568/eabe0948

It is likely that CoViD vaccines/devices offer a very partial protection for oneself and others, particularly against new strains, and particularly when compared to prevention, whether mechanical (social distanciation, washing hands, wearing masks in some places/times, air filtration in closed spaces...) or (for people with regular immune system) by keeping good levels of nutrients essential to immunity (I have seen surveys only about each of them, irrespective of participants other nutrients status, a good level of all of them must grant a high level of immunity) such as vitamins C, D3, K2 and Zinc, quercetin and maybe melatonin. For people at risk, or taking care of frail people, Ivermectin alone too, has shown a level of protection of 90% in prophylaxy, some trials have shown that treated people have a lower viral charge if they get infected in spite of it, and there is no reason for their shedding more virus when ill, or for being less efficient against new strains, which are strong advantages, the inconvenient being, from the protocols seen and advice read regarding new strains, they must be taken weekly (after a day 1 + day 3 start) while vaccines would have to be taken "only" twice yearly or yearly. The combination of all must be very very high.
https://scitechdaily.com/encouragin...in-clinical-trial-for-reducing-mild-covid-19/
https://ivmmeta.com/
(too many surveys about vitamins and minerals, for CoViD and other infections diseases)
I am a bit nervous as much as we want a worlds at what cost?
 
I just cannot help but wonder....
how come Worlds appears to be such a worry for so many fans, but an event like the Challenge Cup, nobody raises any eyebrows?

Have you seen how many skaters are coming to that event? Sure, there will be more at Worlds (in particular ice dance), but in the grand scheme of things, that doesn’t make such a big difference.

What is it that makes Worlds such a no no for people, but a senior B (?), it’s perfectly fine? It can’t be the worry about the size of the audience, as there won’t be any.
 
I just cannot help but wonder....
how come Worlds appears to be such a worry for so many fans, but an event like the Challenge Cup, nobody raises any eyebrows?

Have you seen how many skaters are coming to that event? Sure, there will be more at Worlds (in particular ice dance), but in the grand scheme of things, that doesn’t make such a big difference.

What is it that makes Worlds such a no no for people, but a senior B (?), it’s perfectly fine? It can’t be the worry about the size of the audience, as there won’t be any.
I'm not particularly fond of Challenge Cup going ahead, either. But as far as I'm aware, the Netherlands has taken a generally more sensible approach to the COVID than Sweden has. This is also a much smaller competition (ergo more manageable) and so far as I can see most of the entrants are from Europe (and apparently stopping Europeans moving around Europe is too big an ask). I imagine there's much more possibility for skaters to drive to the location in private vehicles rather than having to fly.
 
I just cannot help but wonder....
how come Worlds appears to be such a worry for so many fans, but an event like the Challenge Cup, nobody raises any eyebrows?
TBH I hadn't heard much about the Challenge Cup so it kind of slipped my mind...

Will most of the skaters be coming from Europe? That seems less dangerous than skaters coming from all over the world in regards to the various strains. :(

How is this vaccines rollout going in Europe? I know it's been a mess in the UK, but I think Germany might have started?
 
TBH I hadn't heard much about the Challenge Cup so it kind of slipped my mind...

Will most of the skaters be coming from Europe? That seems less dangerous than skaters coming from all over the world in regards to the various strains. :(

How is this vaccines rollout going in Europe? I know it's been a mess in the UK, but I think Germany might have started?
Actually, the UK, far as I know, are doing much better than many countries here.
And, yes indeed, the Netherlands are actually *at the bottom* of the list when it comes to vaccinations (ratio percentage of the population). (Something the media here LOVE to repeat over and over. *rolls eyes*)

Ah yes, that is very true, the skaters for Worlds are coming from all over the place, and CC seems only Europeans this time.
I am uncertain as to how much of a difference something like that makes, though? Most will still being entering by plane. And so many (most?) countries represented at Worlds are European, too. Plus, corona seems to have hit harder here than in, for instance, Asia (generally speaking), so I would almost be inclined to believe something like CC would be just as, maybe even more of a risk than Worlds.

The various strains are already here, too, so that’s not gonna make a difference, either.

I really think it will be fascinating to see how CC work out...
 
Netherlands had more excess of deaths than Sweden, both in Spring and Autumn/Winter (and now), maybe because they had an approach less sensible than Sweden, who, compared with more successful neighbours, maybe lacked masks and tests last Spring, and implemented too harsh measures with care homes, but still did much better than "blind lockdown" countries. Lockdowns don't work (I mean complete lockdowns, as did some countries in Europe, which ended the worst hit), there were surveys in Spain, Italy and France, maybe elsewhere.
https://euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/
These numbers can be compared, because they were collected following the same methods (but the last published week is generally completed the next week more or less depending on each country, so this one cannot be compared).
The official numbers of deaths by CoViD cannot be compared because the methods and means are not the same.

An update to my previous message : a survey has been published about the Moderna one, this one with an assessment about severity of symptoms, and on the 11 participants who got symptomatic CoViD in spite of "the real jab", none had severe symptoms. Of course it is a very small number (though the survey had thirty thousand participants) but I think it can already be said that if there are ADE, they must not be very frequent.
Of course at the moment of the survey, the new strains were not there and nothing can be said about efficacy with them, but I think it is good news on the safety side, which we don't have with other vaccines/devices.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2035389?query=recirc_mostViewed_railB_article

And there has also been a survey about natural immunity :
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2035389?query=recirc_mostViewed_railB_article

@anonymoose_au
I tend to agree with you about where participants come from. I think airports are safe for prudent travellers, and short-haul flights don't worry me much because viral charge don't have time to grow with asymptomatic carriers breathe, but I wonder how long-haul flights are managed air-wise. Is air filtrated now?

I don't think vaccines are a question, for different reasons, some of which I have exposed above. We have means to roughly assess efficacy of safety measures and body preparedness on (all strains of) virus spreading, not vaccines.
 
Actually, the UK, far as I know, are doing much better than many countries here.
And, yes indeed, the Netherlands are actually *at the bottom* of the list when it comes to vaccinations (ratio percentage of the population). (Something the media here LOVE to repeat over and over. *rolls eyes*)

Ah yes, that is very true, the skaters for Worlds are coming from all over the place, and CC seems only Europeans this time.
I am uncertain as to how much of a difference something like that makes, though? Most will still being entering by plane. And so many (most?) countries represented at Worlds are European, too. Plus, corona seems to have hit harder here than in, for instance, Asia (generally speaking), so I would almost be inclined to believe something like CC would be just as, maybe even more of a risk than Worlds.

The various strains are already here, too, so that’s not gonna make a difference, either.

I really think it will be fascinating to see how CC work out...
You don't know that. It's not like Asian countries are telling the truth when it comes to numbers of infected... or any other informations. They are not so open to the world like the West :shrug:
 
You don't know that. It's not like Asian countries are telling the truth when it comes to numbers of infected... or any other informations. They are not so open to the world like the West :shrug:
The numbers aren’t so accurate everywhere. You might have had Covid, but if you didn’t test for it, you don’t know for sure especially if you are asymptomatic then you might have Covid, but you didn’t know. This goes for anywhere in the world.
 
You don't know that. It's not like Asian countries are telling the truth when it comes to numbers of infected... or any other informations. They are not so open to the world like the West :shrug:
Well if you were more open to news outside the western media you would know that Asian countries have been much more vigorous and strict with testing and quarantine. They also have less non-mask Karens.
 
I know we have to live but I am more fearful or skeptical. If and hopefully this won't happen we lose one of the top skaters our opinion might change about worlds or not. The winner will be the winner. No asterik that the training situations will be more varied than ever due to covid.
 
You don't know that. It's not like Asian countries are telling the truth when it comes to numbers of infected... or any other informations. They are not so open to the world like the West :shrug:
I think @Winnie_20 was speaking about vaccines, not contamination or deaths?
I think UK are the worst of all in terms of vaccines, because they gave one jab to plenty of people, and very few had the second jab. This is "perfect" as a new variants incubator and we are already seeing it. French Academy of Medicine seriously warned against injecting twice more people once rather than the planned number twice. Only people with serious health problems after the first jab, should skip the second.
 
Well if you were more open to news outside the western media you would know that Asian countries have been much more vigorous and strict with testing and quarantine. They also have less non-mask Karens.
I agree that the Asian countries do seem to have less issues with masks, but could you refrain from using the term Karen. Your point was valid without it. I find it unnecessary, mean-spirited and ageist. On behalf of all those named Karen, including Karen Chen, I object to the use of this slang - whatever it is please.
 
FYI The Australian Open has decided to go "Fan Free" after the first week of having people in the stands. I think that sends a clear message that Covid is not under control and that it might be a while before "Heard Immunity" takes effect and things slowly return to normal.

 
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FYI The Australian Open has decided to go "Fan Free" after the first week of having people in the stands. I think that sends a clear message that Covid is not under control and that it might be a while before "Heard Immunity" takes effect and things slowly return to normal.

And so it should be at Worlds as well: no spectators (and that is actually what is planned), so it should work out.
 
You don't know that. It's not like Asian countries are telling the truth when it comes to numbers of infected... or any other informations. They are not so open to the world like the West :shrug:
Umm... I wouldn't lump all Asian countries into one category, and it's not just Asia. There certainly are countries that are misrepresenting their numbers all around the world, and I'm sure there are a bunch of countries in Asia (and around the world) being truthful. Asia's a huge continent with lots of different countries. Please don't put such a diverse continent into one group of "not open to the rest of the world" or "not trustworthy".
 
FYI The Australian Open has decided to go "Fan Free" after the first week of having people in the stands. I think that sends a clear message that Covid is not under control and that it might be a while before "Heard Immunity" takes effect and things slowly return to normal.
If you're going to put it in quotes, then please correctly spell "Herd Immunity".

Or is there some other form of immunity that comes from being informed that someone else was immunized?
 
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