I first, want to reiterate the question: When is Tokyo? and two, say that I don't think that by my estimate of when it would be the 3a will be as common as the current 2a I think it will be more towards how common the 3a is in men's competition today: being a necessity.

As for Carolina doing a triple axel, I agree with the poster that said we will see a quad first because TV commentators have said that she sees the double axel as her worst jump and doesn't like it at all.