I can see where you're coming from but I don't think Ashley is really that far ahead of Elizaveta in terms of presentation. I don't think Ashley is far ahead in terms of PE and I don't even think she's ahead choreographically with this program. I'd say Ashley is much higher on SS but that and IN are the only ones where she was definitively better than Liza. I do agree about this insane PCS inflation considering only some seem to be benefiting from it. (How Julia got more PCS with that than Satoko from her SC FS I'll never understand).
I am not sure what you mean
she is not that far ahead? Not even by 0.1 - 0.3 points per category? ie/ 1 point overall?
Julia is still climbing down from her crazy OGM inflation from Sochi. If she don't deliver, it will (should anyway) continue to decline. Though depends on how she get on at Russia Nationals, they may try to boost her to Sochi levels again @ European Championship to secure podium finish for the big one like last year = TOTAL JOKE! Although it is safe to say, they needn't worry this year. My estimate 2 Russian podium finisher = 90% guaranteed. US has 26% chance for a podium finish, this odds may improve depends on Gracie's recovery.
Satoko is still upcoming and a big question mark for me. Personally I still prefer Kanako at this point. Give it a few years of growth spurts and more varied programs I may change my mind. Her Miss Saigon is one of the better choreographed program this season but physically (performance sport wise) she is just not quite there yet. The only thing I will put her FS over Kanako's FS PCS is in choreography.
It is a personal thing, but I have always prefer skaters who can skate big, jump big, deep edges, good speed, nuanced expressions, well controlled upper body movement, nice use of arms, good musicality that attacks their programs to generate a memorable overall impression with personality. Appear to skate freely even not always perfect. I don't mind seeing skaters struggle like Liza did, because it is a natural part of gaining success, and skaters can gain alot from failing. They fight, they make mistakes, they learn, they become stronger. It makes their success taste sweeter. Like Liza did here, like Ashley did here, like Hanyu did here.
In any case, it seems the judges are unsure too about how they should place Satoko with Kanako internationally, so both may be cancelling each other's PCS bonuses. I don't think JSF is sure themselves? Although I suspect, JSF may be more willing to put their weight behind Satoko due to her longer mileage and potential. Japanese Nationals should be interesting especially with Rika gaining momentum out of no where. Actually the fact Japan have even more stronger men than ladies, in particularly Hanyu who's like to be on the podium 80% of the time with crazy tech, this will hardly benefit their ladies. Not when Russia has been starved for Gold for a decade since Irina, and the fact Mao just won her Gold last year in Japan. I'd totally shocked if any Japanese lady ends up on the WC podium this year. Nicely surprised, but totally shocked.