- Joined
- Oct 13, 2019
She's been landing her 3a for months. The only reason it is just now known to the public is because she's ready to unleash it in competition and it's stable enough.
She's been landing her 3a for months. The only reason it is just now known to the public is because she's ready to unleash it in competition and it's stable enough.
There’s no way she just happened to land her first 3A ever a mere few hours after Aliona almost broke her WR. Team Tutberidze is strategic with what they post/don’t post on their social media accounts. I can only assume this means it is ready to be put in her program for GPF. I am thinking it will be in the SP for sure, but not 100% about whether I think it will be in the LP too. We will find out in less than 2 weeks!
There’s no way she just happened to land her first 3A ever a mere few hours after Aliona almost broke her WR. Team Tutberidze is strategic with what they post/don’t post on their social media accounts. I can only assume this means it is ready to be put in her program for GPF. I am thinking it will be in the SP for sure, but not 100% about whether I think it will be in the LP too. We will find out in less than 2 weeks!
Alena almost reach her highest scoring potential, she already skate 2 clean programs and did not score 250+ by Worlds she could break that but not by much (only from extra PCS and GOE, so at max ~5-7 points?) So Sasha still control her own destiny after all. I think she need more competition to get used to new layout since debuting 2 new element is not easy. I wont be surprised if she remove that 3A if she's not getting it right and also replacing that 4S with 4F. Sasha also get hurt by not able to do -3Lo combo right now. Anna also upped her potential scoring now that she introduced 4F, but she need to land it first. Rika also start to attempt that 4S which will make it more interesting. But she need to land that too and not messed her SPI'm interested in what people think. Alena won GPF, broke the WR, has proven her consistency, and now has some of the most competitive PCS scores of the ladies. However, Anna and Sasha have debuted 4F that look, honestly, pretty good. And Sasha may not be consistent with a fully rotated 3A but it may not be far off. Anna's PCS is also rising. I'd feel comfortable tying Alena and Sasha for now.
Alena almost reach her highest scoring potential, she already skate 2 clean programs and did not score 250+ by Worlds she could break that but not by much (only from extra PCS and GOE, so at max ~5-7 points?) So Sasha still control her own destiny after all. I think she need more competition to get used to new layout since debuting 2 new element is not easy. I wont be surprised if she remove that 3A if she's not getting it right and also replacing that 4S with 4F. Sasha also get hurt by not able to do -3Lo combo right now. Anna also upped her potential scoring now that she introduced 4F, but she need to land it first. Rika also start to attempt that 4S which will make it more interesting. But she need to land that too and not messed her SP
Unless something incredibly unusual happens at GPF, I don’t expect to make major changes to my ranking. The top five may be switched around, but I’m expecting that the top five will still be in the top five after GPF.
3. Alexandra Trusova (-2): Increasing her base value is having an ironic and adverse effect: the higher it is, the lower her scores. Going for the 3A when it’s clearly not competition-ready was not brave, but silly. It turns out that she didn’t lose the gold medal with that harebrained decision, but the silver. Work the 3A for Worlds because she needs to ensure she is in the first warmup group going into the FS. Tighten up the 4S or take it out entirely.
This is silly. How can you possibly determine that her 3A isn’t ready just based on that one attempt? That’s not a big sample size. For all you know, maybe she has an 80% success rate with her 3A in practice and you just saw the rare few times that she didn’t do it correctly. A peak Sasha score (265-270, at least) is far beyond anything Alena or Anna can reach.
Actually , I saw her practices and it's what I based my assessment on. Nearly all of her 3A attempts in practice were falls (some of them very bad falls). She's also not getting the rotations in. It's not ready. Also, I'm fully aware of what her scoring potential is. But I think it's silly to go by that alone when she's nowhere near hitting her hypothetical top score. Yet.
You only saw a limited number of attempts. You need a much bigger sample than that to be able to boldly claim that her 3A isn’t competition ready. Alena, for instance, fell constantly on her 3A in a recent practice in the open. She was in tears. The point is, you can’t boldly claim that ones jump isn’t ready based on a limited number of attempts.