I'd say it's not a very high chance. She was only 12th at RusNats, behind Liza N, Ksenia Tsibinova and Anna Frolova and she couldn't go to RCF to prove that Rostelecom wasn't a fluke.
Hmmm I disagree. Liza N was brutally pushed down by URs and downgrades at RCF. I just don't see RusFed giving the lady who finished 11th at RCF 2 GP spots. 1 for sure, she was sixth at RusNats, but it wasn't like she was super close to fifth place or the podium. As much as I want to see her get 2 spots, I don't see it happening. Sofia S getting a spot seems very likely since she has the world standings for that. And I don't see them going with Ksenia T over Anna Frolova or Kseniia Sinitsyna. Frolova and Tsibinova went against each other three times this season, and Anna F came out on top 2 times. Yes Tsibinova was higher at RusNats, but consider that at RCF both were clean and Anna F was higher by 11 points. Anna F also has the international experience with JGPs too. Kseniia's biggest backing factor is her fifth at RusNats and the fact that she, despite being kind of held back in PCS due to skating first, was only six points away from Sasha's FS score. And she was only 2 points away from being fourth, with a disaster SP too. She has the highest SB out of the all of them based off of 19-20 scores, she's won a JGP, she's made it to the JGPF, she was fourth at Junior Worlds, and she has a potential quad + huge scoring potential. Maybe I don't exactly see her getting 2 spots, again I said I would find it reasonable but RusFed and I are not the same, but I think it would be the most reasonable decision. If Zhenya doesn't return I probably see Maiia 2, Kseniia S 1, Sofia S 1, Liza N 1 and Anna F 1. I'm just a bit sad that we probably won't see Kseniia again. If she did perform cleanly, even if the 4T wasn't landed, I think she'd totally be a shoe-in. The main thing holding her back is the lack of knowledge we have about her state - accompanied by the fact she didn't do great at her last competition though she did pretty well at the Tchaikovskaya skate. I think RusFed might be able to send people to like watch the top skaters train in order to understand their state right? So maybe if Kseniia really is doing really well (which I hope she is!) they will see that and consider her.