Mmmm. So it's Italy's Olympic committee that are pushing for a ban. But the Italian Skating Federation are backing her.
Do any of our Italian members know if there are any reasons why CONI would be out to get Caro?
Don't tell me that they are still holding it against her that she bombed at the Turin Olympics!
My guess is as good as yours, but I'll give it a try.
So, when Schwazer was controled positive (right before 2012 Olympics, so the case was much talked about), he confessed (that's a novelty in itself, usually athletes deny the obvious), but he tried to pass it as “one moment of weakness” and said he did it by himself. Instead, what emerged from the inquiry was that both CONI and FIDAL (Italian Athletics Federation) were well-aware of his cooperation with Dr. Ferrari, and willing to close an eye on it all, hoping for a medal in London. During the 2011-2012 season, all athletes likely to medal in London were told that doping tests (in Italy) would have been “lenient”. In fact, Schwazer was caught by WADA, not by Italian officers who were eager to cover him before and dropped him immediately afterwards.
To cut a long story short, in my opinion CONI wants to be harsh on Carolina to show that they are strict: none of their officials resigned or even apologized for these facts, but Kostner is a household name and so they're going to make her pay for it. As for what you said about Turin, well, right after Kostner's disastrous outcome in Vancouver the Head of CONI (now retired) declared he was “disappointed that she wasn't a true champion”. After 2010 Kostner got her act together majorly, as we all know, so maybe they're holding a grudge for THAT.
Maybe there's a deal: they hushed this thing until Sochi, but now Kostner has to retire/be banned. As for the retroactive ban and the stripping of medals, I hope it's only a threat, but I don't know.
Now, Kostner's main fault is having lied to WADA officers and maybe having been reticent with inquirers, which is not good for a member of Penitentiary Police. A reasonable punishment, IMO, would be to fire her from Fiamme Azzurre (Penitentiary Police Sport Team) and to fine her, maybe even a ban (not a retroactive one). She made a costly mistake and she probably knew/figured something, but she didn't procure the doping for him, and it wasn't up to her to report him/find proof, no more that it was up to Italian officers. Furthermore, 2004 Italian OGM in Racewalking Ivano Brugnetti voiced his own suspicions about Schwazer and Ferrari (before London, of course) and he was told by FIDAL to “shut up and mind his own business”.
Why do inquirers stress out discrepancies between Kostner's and Schwazer's version, (implying that they believe to Schwazer)? Recently, Schwazer said that he wants to compete in Rio (!), and his ban would be expired by then. As it was already explained (by alebi IIRC) Italian Athletics is in such a desperate state that they will support anyone can provide medals, especially at the Olympics.
Mind that, when caught, Schwazer said that he hated his sport, that he took doping to face the pressure to win and so on: very well then, RETIRE and do something else with your life. I think he was pressured into coming back.
I want to add that Hyperbaric Oxygen chamber use is forbidden in Italy but allowed in other countries (Schwazer used it in Oberstdorf at Kostner's place), and it was recommended/prescribed to him by his then-coach (who faces no charges).
Sorry for this very long post.