Thanks for asking!
I was watching a repeat of the GPF last night and wondering about just this subject. The following is unbridled personal opinion:
Yes, Tanith and Ben are the best chance at a gold medal in ice dance that the US has ever had. Period. And they're young enough to wait out the Russians, the Bulgarians and the INS. Could they beat the Russians now? No. They still have some rough edges, and the judges will hand N&K the gold unless they're really, really bad, as they were at NHK. It can be argued that N&K are more well-rounded ice dancers than the other two teams, too.
Could they beat the Bulgarians again? Maybe - but only if D&S decide to commit another ice-dance atrocity on the scale of "Bach to Africa".
As I see it, if B&A want to move up, they're going to have to start stretching themselves a little. They've proven that they can skate enthusiastically and with increasing skill to fast, exciting music. Now it's time for them to take a page from N&K's book and show us what else they can do. They've got one great expression - their smiles. They need to master something different. I would LOVE to see B&A choose a piece next year that's slower and has more romance and drama. (Just not Tosca, kids. I don't think I could handle another Tosca.)
Couldn't something be done to expedite Tanith's citizenship process? Perhaps a petition? I'd be happy to send a note to my Congressperson if it would help! If someone with more time on his or her hands than I would like to look into this, perhaps now would be a good time to get it started. 2006 is just around the corner!
Rave