Back to the skaters? Hmpf.
(Entire Post)
Is COP too hard on the skaters when it comes to punishing this stuff? I don't know, sometimes it seems like that to me. But then someone here in this thread rightly said that the men suffer much less from these stricter rules. Probably because they mostly have their technique under control while the women may have been getting ahead of themselves in the quest for 3-3s etc. without learning the proper basics for it. And if COP helps reverse that trend then I'm all for it.
Agreed. There are going to be growing pains with any new system. As stated before, COP is still new and being tweaked. While the UR penalty appears somewhat excessive right now, I think (hope) it's going to pay dividends down the line when future skaters - taught the basics and correct jump technique, etc - take the stage. It's unfortunate that Mao is caught in the transition period, but the fact of the matter is that all her major competitors are in the same boat. It may no longer be the case come Sochi, but as of now all the podium contenders are undergoing the same transition. Some are struggling while others are thriving, but that's just the way it goes.
I disagree with this part. Asada has landed completely rotated 3F-3Lo's, 3F-3T's, 2A-3T's, and 3A's many, many times in competition.
Last week, I actually calculated Mao's success rate on these jumps because I was so frustrated by her recent struggles and her fixation with the 3A. I wanted to compare the success of her 3A/3A+2T attempts vs. her other 3+3 combos. I must say, I wasn't very encouraged by the results either way...
Basically, I went through the protocols from her ISU competitions beginning with the 2006-07 post-Torino season and compiled the list of all the 3+3s (including 2A+3T) and 3A/combos she's attempted. I should note that the inclusion of her senior debut season would probably raise the numbers/percentages a little.
This was initially intended for my own perusal, so there may be errors in my calculations since I didn't really double check my work! Popped jumps and solo jumps that were clearly aborted combos were included as attempts. I won't post the actual list I compiled (unless anyone's interested) since it'll make for a
really long post, but these are the results. Make of it what you will.
As for myself, I expected Mao's success rate with the 3A and 3A combo to be around 50%, so that wasn't a surprise. I was a bit taken aback that the other combos' rates were basically the same. I knew her 3+3s were inconsistent, but that's just... not good.
3A, 3A+2T:
4 3A+2T completed in 10 attempts (40%)
9 3A completed in 16 attempts (56%)
Total: 13 completed in 26 attempts (50%)
9 of the 13 completed received +GOE
8 attempts (31%) were deemed UR
Average GOE for completed jumps: +0.35
Average GOE for all jumps: -0.34
3F+3Lo, 3F+3T, 2A+3T:
11 3F+3Lo completed in 23 attempts (48%)
2 3F+3T completed in 3 attempts (67%)
2 2A+3T completed in 4 attempts (50%)
Total: 15 completed in 30 attempts (50%)
12 of the 15 completed received +GOE
(9 attempts, 30%, were deemed UR)
Average GOE for completed jumps: +0.50
Average GOE for all jumps: -0.39
I don't think Mao's UR issues have actually gotten all that much worse as of late; really, it's been a constant problem since the 07-08 season, when ISU began to really crack down on it.
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As a point of reference, here's Yuna:
(Because surely we can't have a thread about Mao without the requisite Yuna comparison!

)
2 3Lz+3T completed in 2 attempts (100%)
24 3F+3T completed in 26 attempts (92%)
12 2A+3T completed in 14 attempts (86%)
Total: 38 completed in 42 attempts (90%)
37 of the 38 completed received +GOE
1 attempt (2%) was deemed UR
Average GOE for completed jumps: +1.25
Average GOE for all jumps: +0.92
Yuna's one -GOE on a completed combo came on the "e" she received on her flip combo at CoC last season. It was otherwise landed cleanly - meaning every combo she's completed (38 out of 38) has been fully rotated and landed cleanly.

She did also receive 5 "!" marks last season but was awarded +GOE overall. Both of Yuna's failed 2A+3T attempts came in her debut season (06-07), and her failed flip combos were two 3F+1T during the 07-08 GPS. In other words, Yuna has landed her last 23 consecutive ?+3T combos.
I feel like I've just jinxed her now... :think: Skategods, you did not hear me!