- Joined
- Aug 7, 2003
Holy tiebreakers Batman!!
So there are 5 skaters competing at NHK that can mathematically make it to the final and knock Ashley (24) and/or Rika(22) out of the last two spots.
Satoko Miyahara (11)
Gracie Gold (11)
Kanako Murakami (11)
Polina Edmunds (9)
Gabrielle Daleman (7)
If either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 1st and one of the other two in 2nd. The first place finisher will go to the final (26 points) and the 2nd place finisher(24) will have to go to the 2nd+ tie breaker with Ashley (both would have 2nd place for the first tie breaker).
If either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 1st and any other skater besides theses 3 finishes 2nd. Then the 1st place finisher (26) will go to the final and Ashley will go to the final.
If Polina finishes 1st and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 2nd . Polina(24) will make the final on the 1st tie breaker and the 2nd place finisher (24) will have to go to the 2nd tie breaker with Ashley.
If Polina finishes 1st and anyone other than Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finishes 2nd. Polina (24) and Ashley (24) will both make the final.
If Polina finishes 2nd (22), someone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 3rd (22) Ashley will go to the final and Rika (22) will go to the final on the tie breaker.
If Gabrielle finishes 1st (22) and Polina finishes 2nd (22). Ashley (24) makes the final. Polina loses to Gabrielle & Rika (both 22) on the first tiebreaker and Gabrielle will go to the 2nd tiebreaker with Rika.
If Gabrielle finishes 1st (22), anyone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Polina finishes 2nd and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanko finishes 3rd (22). Ashely(24) goes to the final the 3rd place finisher loses on the first tiebreaker, and Gabrielle will go to the 2nd tiebreaker with Rika.
There are a few more scenarios if none of the contenders finish in the top 3 or if neither Gracie, Satoko or Kanko finish in the top 3, but the likelihood of that happening is slim and I already spent a lot of time on this so I'm leaving those out
So....
*Gracie, Satoko, or Kanako will make the final if:
-she finishes 1st
-she finishes 2nd, one of the other 2 finishes 1st and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against Ashley.
-she finishes 2nd, Polina finishes first and she wins the 2nd tie breaker against Ashley
*Polina will only make the final if she finishes 1st, but her spot will be guaranteed
*Gabrielle will only make the final if she comes in 1st, Gracie, Satoko & Kanako finish no higher than 3rd and she wins tiebreaker with Rika.
*Ashley will make the final if
-Two of the following: Gracie, Satoko or Kanko, finish 1st and 2nd and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against the 2nd place finisher
-Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 1st and any other skater besides those three finishes 2nd
-Polina finishes 1st; Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 2nd and she wins the 2nd tie breaker with the 2nd place finisher
-Polina finishes 1st and any skater other than Gracie, Satoko, or Kanako finishes 2nd.
-Polina finishes 2nd and any skater other than Satoko, Gracie, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and Satoko, Gracie or Kanako finishes 3rd
-Anyone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Polina finishes 1st, one of them finishes 2nd and she wins the tiebreaker against the 2nd place finisher
*Rika will make the final if
-Polina finishes 2nd and any skater any skater other than Satoko, Gracie, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and Satoko, Gracie or Kanako finishes 3rd
-Gabrielle finishes 1st, Polina finishes 2nd and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against Gabrielle
-Gabrielle finishes 1st, anyone other than Gracie, Sotoko, Kanako, or Polina finishes 2nd and she wins the tiebreaker against Gabrielle.
Hopefully I got them all.
So there are 5 skaters competing at NHK that can mathematically make it to the final and knock Ashley (24) and/or Rika(22) out of the last two spots.
Satoko Miyahara (11)
Gracie Gold (11)
Kanako Murakami (11)
Polina Edmunds (9)
Gabrielle Daleman (7)
If either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 1st and one of the other two in 2nd. The first place finisher will go to the final (26 points) and the 2nd place finisher(24) will have to go to the 2nd+ tie breaker with Ashley (both would have 2nd place for the first tie breaker).
If either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 1st and any other skater besides theses 3 finishes 2nd. Then the 1st place finisher (26) will go to the final and Ashley will go to the final.
If Polina finishes 1st and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 2nd . Polina(24) will make the final on the 1st tie breaker and the 2nd place finisher (24) will have to go to the 2nd tie breaker with Ashley.
If Polina finishes 1st and anyone other than Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finishes 2nd. Polina (24) and Ashley (24) will both make the final.
If Polina finishes 2nd (22), someone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish in 3rd (22) Ashley will go to the final and Rika (22) will go to the final on the tie breaker.
If Gabrielle finishes 1st (22) and Polina finishes 2nd (22). Ashley (24) makes the final. Polina loses to Gabrielle & Rika (both 22) on the first tiebreaker and Gabrielle will go to the 2nd tiebreaker with Rika.
If Gabrielle finishes 1st (22), anyone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Polina finishes 2nd and either Gracie, Satoko or Kanko finishes 3rd (22). Ashely(24) goes to the final the 3rd place finisher loses on the first tiebreaker, and Gabrielle will go to the 2nd tiebreaker with Rika.
There are a few more scenarios if none of the contenders finish in the top 3 or if neither Gracie, Satoko or Kanko finish in the top 3, but the likelihood of that happening is slim and I already spent a lot of time on this so I'm leaving those out
So....
*Gracie, Satoko, or Kanako will make the final if:
-she finishes 1st
-she finishes 2nd, one of the other 2 finishes 1st and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against Ashley.
-she finishes 2nd, Polina finishes first and she wins the 2nd tie breaker against Ashley
*Polina will only make the final if she finishes 1st, but her spot will be guaranteed
*Gabrielle will only make the final if she comes in 1st, Gracie, Satoko & Kanako finish no higher than 3rd and she wins tiebreaker with Rika.
*Ashley will make the final if
-Two of the following: Gracie, Satoko or Kanko, finish 1st and 2nd and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against the 2nd place finisher
-Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 1st and any other skater besides those three finishes 2nd
-Polina finishes 1st; Gracie, Satoko or Kanako finish 2nd and she wins the 2nd tie breaker with the 2nd place finisher
-Polina finishes 1st and any skater other than Gracie, Satoko, or Kanako finishes 2nd.
-Polina finishes 2nd and any skater other than Satoko, Gracie, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and Satoko, Gracie or Kanako finishes 3rd
-Anyone other than Gracie, Satoko, Kanako or Polina finishes 1st, one of them finishes 2nd and she wins the tiebreaker against the 2nd place finisher
*Rika will make the final if
-Polina finishes 2nd and any skater any skater other than Satoko, Gracie, Kanako or Gabrielle finishes 1st and Satoko, Gracie or Kanako finishes 3rd
-Gabrielle finishes 1st, Polina finishes 2nd and she wins the 2nd tiebreaker against Gabrielle
-Gabrielle finishes 1st, anyone other than Gracie, Sotoko, Kanako, or Polina finishes 2nd and she wins the tiebreaker against Gabrielle.
Hopefully I got them all.
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