Also, our experts on this board, how hard (or easy) might it be for her to fix the issues with her jumps, which Kozuka's dad has pointed out?
I'm no expert, but I'll give my two cents. Speed is extremely difficult to improve on. You either have it or don't. I don't have an elaborate explanation, but I know this for sure (I've heard it from experts here and there). Mao's not slow, mind you, but she is slow in comparison to Miki, Yu-na or Caro K, for example, and given that speed is a key factor in determining GOE, she does need to speed up. Her problem in getting GOE is that she kind of comes to a standstill right before the jump (her 3A and 3T in particular). She kind of stops. Leeps high into the air and revolves very, very quickly, thus missing out on the speed and ice coverage GOE checkpoints. I don't know why this is in Mao's case, but I've heard it has to do with the fear of falling for other skaters. If that's the case, I'm pretty sure a determined Mao could fix that. Some skaters are too fast (Caro K) and mess up with jumps because of timing or OR. Some skaters are too slow and thus use weird technique or UR. Mao needs to lean towards the fast, but of course this requires near perfect technique (easier to mess up with speed) and greater control.
Some things I've noticed about her jumping: (1) When she jumps the 3A, she turns backward first, goes sideways, then turns forward, while she jumps straight into the 2A. There's nothing wrong with the former, but I'm pretty sure that's one thing that slows her down. I know the 3A is a very daunting move exactly because one must jump forwards, but if she wants her 3A to be more GOE-friendly, that's a way. It will help her translate the torque from the preparation to the jump. (2) Before she does the 3F, she bends her knee, does something funny with her other leg, which probably doesn't help her speed up. I haven't seen her do that until recently (maybe from 2008-2009), so I'm guessing she can fix it. It's a minor technicality. (3) Photos of her taken show her face distorted to the side. That seems to suggest that her torque is centered there, when it should start at the foot, spread to the ankles and the entire body, to kind of center at the shoulders. Her air position may affect her jumping technique, definitely. Perhaps her coaches should look into that. (4) Her 3Lo is gorgeous! I actually like it more than her 3A.
And now to her flutz. Her 3lz was getting there by Worlds. I don't know why Mao took it out. Mao should've battled it out like she did with her 3A (which consistency and quality-wise was awful earlier on this season, but emerged gorgeous in the end). Miki and Joannie battled with their flutz during their competitive seasons (it usually takes a whole year) and got it right in the end (but it was costly). Fixing a flutz is extremely difficult, as it's a habit often from childhood, engrained by muscle memory. By the time one gets close to fixing the lutz, one often messes up on the flip, so on and so forth. It's a great risk, but one Mao should probably take if she aims for Sochi '14. If she starts now, she could get it fixed by Tokyo Worlds.
As for the 3-3. Mao said she will work on it. She took it out probably because she was hit with UR here and there. She was working with the 3F-3Lo in 08-09. Next season, she should start with a 3F-3T, which is less prone to UR calls. A 3Lo combo is very risky and very, very prone to UR, like everyone knows here. She should work on the 3F-3T, get it ratified several times and boost her confidence before tacking on a 3Lo. I wonder why she URed her combination so often in 08-09. Is it because of the strict calls or because her technique changed? I'm not sure. I'm awful at UR calls.
A great thing though is that Mao is getting much, much better in terms of consistency (good showings at Nationals, 4CC, OG and WC in a row) and in dealing with her nerves. I was worried she would implode right after Yu-na's LP at the OG because she has a history of meltdowns, but she didn't! It was great. What's also great is that she has learned from a disappointing season (for her) and will return to light music and 3-3s (in addition to her 3A).
Wow I wrote so much
