Judging from his track record it seems he can only win in his home buffer zone as he is their crowd favorite. But not in the international scene. With Joshua Farris' 2 beautifully choreographed programs the latter is the only one at this point who could give the US mens a podium finish.
Um, you do realize this is a fan thread right?
But you're right at this point, Josh probably has the BV to get on the podium sooner. However, it's not like Jason is faring THAT poorly internationally.
Jason has two GP medals to Josh's, well, zero. You can argue that injuries kept Josh from the podium during both seasons, but it doesn't change the fact above.
Also he did win Nebelhorn Trophy, beating the likes of Voronov, who is now considered a podium contender and Brezina. At the Olympics SP, he beat several top skaters to get in the final group.
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As noted elsewhere, Jason's PCS at 4CC was quite high. He was basically 4th in the SP despite two big mistakes and he was practically tied for 3rd (Han Yan was just .02 higher) in the FS. 167.35 with a no-quad FS is not something to sneeze at.
For perspective, here are the other skaters who will be at Worlds who have received such a higher score this season:
Yuzuru Hanyu - 194.08
Denis Ten - 191.85
Joshua Farris - 175.72
Javier Fernandez - 174.72
Takahito Mura- 173.24
Han Yan - 172.13
(Shoma Uno and Daisuke Murakami is also above him, but alas, neither of them will be at Worlds).
Maxim Kovtun is right behind him at 166.24 and Sergei Voronov is at 161.67.
It's also worth noting that Jason got that score with a 3Z< (with minus GOE on the combo) and a silly mistake on the spin. He would actually had broken 170 had it not been for that error.
Jason has already beaten Mura at 4CC. Jason has a good shot at being top 6, I think, which is not a bad placement for your first Worlds. And quite honestly, I don't think it's delusion to think he could finish higher (i.e. 4th or 5th) -- the men are SO unpredictable and Jason's score are relatively steady (in fact had been going on a upward incline over the season 153, 154, 159 and now 167). The SP has been more costly (83, 79, 76, 75), but he is capable of scoring up to 86 points in that regard. (his PB at the Olympics).
The podium for Jason would take some major meltdowns by the contenders and absolutely perfect skates from Jason. I really don't want that.
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Great post. :agree: 
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