Could it? Against Anna‘s quad and Sasha‘s multiple quads? We‘ve seen it last year already, even a clean skate doesn‘t win against one with one or two quads even if there are falls. Last year‘s JGPF... Alena was about 2 points behind in TES in the SP. Something that could have easily been made up with PCS... well, just saying that her PCS were lower than Sasha‘s. She was behind in Interpretation of the music even, which is her biggest strength as we all know.
She won the FS by the fraction of a point but it wasn‘t enough already. Again not getting even a whole point advantage in PCS. So, if Sasha has 3 quads, clean or not, I fear Alena could never make up that difference. Anna maybe, if she falls... With a 3Lz-3Lo in the SP it would be different since they‘d all have the same content and then Alena should win based on execution of the elements, skating skills and performance wise. FS... you can‘t beat 3 quads even with 3Lz-3Lo and 3A, I fear.
Here are the judges‘ scores if you want to see for yourself. I‘m not good at calculating so maybe I made a mistake.
SP:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/season1718/gpf1718/data0603.pdf
FS:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/season1718/gpf1718/data0605.pdf
But having said that, for now that‘s not even really important to me. I want Alena to be healthy and happy and skate clean at the JGPF so that she can be satisfied with her performance whatever place she might get.