I was taking a look at her ACI protocols and:
SP
1 3Lz! 5.90 0.12 2 1 1 0 0 -1 -1 6.02
2 2A 3.30 -0.59 -2 -1 -1 -2 -3 -2 -2 2.71
3 CSp4 2.60 0.68 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 3.28
4 3F+3T 10.45x 1.38 2 3 3 2 3 3 2 11.83
5 StSq3 3.30 1.12 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 4.42
6 FSSp4 3.00 0.90 2 3 3 2 4 4 3 3.90
7 CCoSp4 3.50 1.12 2 4 2 3 4 4 3 4.62
If clean her 2A would score around 1,30 points more, het 3lz! in the FS scored 0.50 more, stsq level 4 would be 0.60 more -> already 2,5 points more than at ACI with only the most obvious mistakes corrected -> 73,50 - if she gets better PCS for a clean performance -> 75\76 points for the SP
FS
1 3Lz! 5.90 0.59 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 6.49
2 2A 3.30 0.66 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3.96
3 3F+2T+2T 7.90 1.27 2 2 2 2 3 3
4 9.17 4 FCSp4 3.20 0.77 3 2 3 2 4 2 2 3.97
5 ChSq1 3.00 1.60 4 3 2 3 4 4 1 4.60
6 2A 3.30 -0.86 -2 -3 -2 -3 -3 -2 -3 2.44
7 3F+3T 10.45 x 1.38 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 11.83
8 3S+3T 9.35 x 1.46 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 10.81
9 3Lo< < 4.05 x -1.84 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 2.21
10 FCCoSp1V 1.50 -0.12 -3 1 0 -2 0 -1 -1 1.38
11 StSq3 3.30 0.92 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 4.22
12 CCoSp4 3.50 1.05 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 4.55
2A can get 1,5 points more, 3lo can get around 4,20 more, FCCoSP level 4 gets her around 3,40 more, stsq level 4 gets her 0.60 more -> 9,70 points more than at ACI -> around 143 points -> better PCS for a better performance = around 146 points total.
In TES she lost around 2,5 in the SP and around 9,70 in the FS = she can get at least 12 points more in TES only. If she has a clean performance we should add around 5\6 points in PCS to those 12, and that would land her at around 221 points, a score that can win her SCI comfortably and secure her a medal at IdF even if Rika beats her. Ofc, if she got higher GOE as well her score would be even higher, not to mention that her PCS will probably grow more than just 5 points during the rest of the season if she does well.
Thanks for coming to my TED talk lol