But Messing will be there, and I predict he'll take bronze easily (if not silver, depending on Misha's nerves). A bronze would give Messing 24 points, beating Misha's 22. Meanwhile, if Voronov takes silver at NHK, then he will also have 24 points. Brezina has 26, which Misha cannot catch up to. Assuming Nathan, Yuzu, and Shoma podium at their second events (which is next to certain), then all the spots are maxed out. And this isn't even taking into account how Dima Aliev and Deniss Vasiljevs do in their events.
I've resigned myself to Misha not making GPF, unfortunately. Sergei and Dima have good chances, though. It will be interesting to see who comes out on top at NHK. With Boyang not in his best form, I think Dima has a fair shot at silver at IdF, depending on how he's looking.