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The first one is definitely the hardest. There are 6 potential girls that have 3A’s (Elizaveta, Alysa, Wakaba, Rika, Kamila, and Aliona) This means that Aliona no longer has the SP 3A advantage. Plus I know that at least Alysa and Kamila also backloads their combinations, so she also doesn’t get those few points.So the first GP. The true test for her. Can she beat TuK, kihira and Liu? Can a miracle happen and she beat valieva
The 2 one I think if she can get 3A and land it complete clean she can beat a Shcherbakova with 4.
But the true question is who can land them in the competition... Tuk can but loose for kostornaia in PCs, Alysa is growing .. I don't remember when was the last time she landed one, wakaba depends, Rika without any doubt.... Valieva has a goods 4 + 3A ... so she probably will be first ( I don't think kostornaia can beat her without a 4)The first one is definitely the hardest. There are 6 potential girls that have 3A’s (Elizaveta, Alysa, Wakaba, Rika, Kamila, and Aliona) This means that Aliona no longer has the SP 3A advantage. Plus I know that at least Alysa and Kamila also backloads their combinations, so she also doesn’t get those few points.
Alysa landed one last week in training, along with a quad. While they weren’t perfect, it looked to be much better technique then before.Alysa is growing .. I don't remember when was the last time she landed one,
Aliona will have to either hope that Kamila gets lower pcs as a first senior(I do think Aliona should be getting higher pcs than Kamila) or that Kamila doesn't skate clean. Valieva isn't the most consistent skater too. Hopefully, Aliona trains for a quad right now.But the true question is who can land them in the competition... Tuk can but loose for kostornaia in PCs, Alysa is growing .. I don't remember when was the last time she landed one, wakaba depends, Rika without any doubt.... Valieva has a goods 4 + 3A ... so she probably will be first ( I don't think kostornaia can beat her without a 4)

The field is insane. I hope Aliona fights her way out.There are 6 potential girls that have 3A’s (Elizaveta, Alysa, Wakaba, Rika, Kamila, and Aliona) This means that Aliona no longer has the SP 3A advantage.
Even Danya looks tall (or at least not small) beside her
Skate Canada is packed but thankfully France is much easier. Still, I'm not worried about 3A jumpers, I think she will be back in top form after returning to Eteri, so she might potentially loose to just successful multiple quadster..The field is insane. I hope Aliona fights her way out.![]()
She is, but she's pure gold
Yes, I think the GP events are extremely important.Is the grand prix very important in an Olympic year? I feel like nationals and Europeans would hold much more weight because of how team selections work.

Totally agree. Aliona will perform beautifully, no doubt about that. The key is her 3A. I don't have high hope for a quad, because it takes time from start jumping it to jumping it with consistency. Aliona needs to practice her 3A first and foremost.Yes, I think the GP events are extremely important.
Let's face it -- Nationals are not going to be judged fairly. The judges will be very generous/lenient with the skaters that they want to go to the Olympics, and they will be very harsh with skaters they don't want to make the team.
So if Aliona skates well in the GP series and gets high scores from the international judges, then I expect the Russian Fed to push for her to go to the Olympics. If she doesn't, then I think it won't really matter how well she skates at Nationals (unless she suddenly lands multiple quads).
Yes, Aliona is going to face tough competition in Canada, but I think she can't afford to worry about how the other skaters may perform. She needs to focus on skating beautifully, with three clean 3A's, at every competition. For her, I think consistency is key -- unless she starts landing a quad, then her best bet is to show that she is reliably excellent.
I also think a lot will depend on her programs, so I really, really hope Team Tut gave her some worthy programs, or at least ones that she really likes and can sell.![]()
Agree. No one is a threat to Aliona at that GP aside from Kamila (Fingers crossed). Even without 3A, I would bet Aliona can get 80+ in SP.if she is clean even without ultra si Alysa and Wakaba won't be a threat to her. she is so far ahead in GOE and PCS that i think she will hold her own. if i remember correctly, she also beat Tuk with a 3A in the short last season without one. Wakaba is pretty inconsistent, Liza is hit or miss and doesn't have the GOE or PCS, and Alysa is a first year senior without high GOE and PCS. so i think the podium is absolutely within reach for her.
There has always been some talk that she is the most cautious about trying new jump elements. In the recent videos she seems to be in a good state of mind, so maybe she can overcome her anxiety and we will see some quad attempts at least?I may be delusional, but I still have hope for a quad. I remember when Aliona's first year with the 3A was spectacular, no falls or pops on a new ultra c! No one had thought she would win all the international competitions that season, yet there she was.
Also in 2019-2020, we knew that she landed a 4S in practice and wanted to put it in her nationals program. So I believe that she could get it back.
