If Nathan comes third, and Joshua comes fourth, Joshua will go.
Based on one senior international medal at 4CCs? I find that doubtful. If Josh has a fabulous season this year, then it's certainly possible. (Have you seen his draw though? Two words: Skate Canada. A little more possible at NHK, but he'd have to go through team Japan at home & Jason). Josh has a history of imploding in either the short or the long if not both. Nathan does not have that reputation. Did Josh win any events last season? Nathan has just won three. It's hard to "select" an inconsistent skater onto the team. And Josh doesn't have much time to prove he is a consistent one.
With regard to Max, I'm afraid you're right. Not "afraid" as in I think it would be a poor decision. (I'm old school & I prefer to see the athletes duke it out on the ice). But as a fan of Max, I really thought he had a good shot of grabbing at least third place this season. Not feeling that way now. It's going to be a battle. The quad is Max's money jump & last season he wasn't cranking the triple on the end in competition. He needs it. Quad double isn't getting the job done for him. And Nathan is cranking the 4/3.
Personally, I'll be rooting for Jason, Max, & Nathan. (Maybe more, depending on the programs). But more importantly, I would like everyone to improve throughout the season and then have a great Nationals. And have TPTB keep their hands off the results. (I also don't want any ratifying of any unrotated jumps. This gets us in serious trouble when it comes to trying to earn spots at Worlds for the following year).
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