Hmm... Why would I watch Russian Novice Championships?
2005 -
Ksenya Stolbova
2007 -
Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
Adelina Sotnikova
2010 -
Yulia Lipnitskaya
2011 -
Elena Radionova
Evgenia Medevedeva
2012 -
Serafima Sakhanovich
2014 -
Polina Tsurskaya
2015 -
Anastasiia Gubanova
2016 -
Anna Shcherbakova
2017 -
Anastasiia Tarakanova
Anna Shcherbakova
Alexandra Trusova
2019 -
Kamila Valieva
Sofia Akatieva
Sofia Samodielkina
The thing is, you just listed 15 skaters in 14 years. That's really not even close to a lot.
And of those 15 only 8 have gone on to have successful senior careers, although it's really still incredibly early for Anna and Sasha. (Ksenya (and she switched disciplines), Liza, Adelina, Yulia, Elena, Evgenia, Anna, and Sasha.
Now granted Kamila, Sofia A, and Sofia S are still incredibly young and not senior eligible yet (in fact Sofia A isn't even junior eligible). So we'll say 8 between 2005-2017. That's still not at all great.
Now let's look at these careers:
Ksenya had an incredibly successful senior career in pairs skating spanning 8 years (with a GP the year before). (2011/2012 - 2017/2018 (with a little test skate comeback in 2019/2020). (You could be senior grand prix eligible before you were senior ISU eligible)
Liza T - 2011/2012 (she was senior grand prix eligible but not ISU eligible until 2012/2013) - ? (Still going!)
Adelina - 2011/2012 - 2015/2016 (one again she was senior grand prix eligible in 2011/2012 but not senior ISU eligible until 2012/2013)
Yulia - 2012/2013 - 2016/2017 (she also was senior grand prix eligible in 2012/2013 but not ISU eligible until 2013/2014)
Elena - 2013/2014 - 2018/2019 (I'm pretty sure she's the last one for whom the old eligibility rules still applied - being GP eligible the year before your ISU eligible.)
Evgenia - 2015/2016 - ? (still going? maybe?)
Serafima - 2015/2016 - 2019/2020 (?) (She's probably retired and in 2019/2020 received only one GP - her first in two years. She's pretty much only skated in CS and senior "B" internationally having only 3 GP assignments in 5 years. Does have a couple golds and silvers at CS.)
Polina - 2017/2018 - 2018/2019 (Senior highlight was winning a bronze at NHK)
Anastasia G - 2018/2019 - ? (Has never had a GP assignment. Senior highlight is winning a silver at Golden Spin. Will struggle to make it out of Russia for even CS assignments.)
Anna - 2019/2020 - ? (Incredibly successful senior debut! Going to Worlds in 2021 (after it was cancelled the year before where she would have gone) - let's see what happens!)
Anastasia T - 2019/2020 - ? (Wasn't given any senior GPs in her senior debut eligible season - instead given two junior GPS - got bronze in both - barely missed out on the GPF
. Lots of coach hopping and hasn't yet made her senior international debut, although a lot of that is pandemic related but also injury/inconsistency/coach hopping related. Will struggle to make it out of Russia for even CS assignments.)
Sasha - 2019/2020 - ? (Incredibly successful senior debut! Going to Worlds in 2021 (after it was cancelled the year before where she would have gone) - let's see what happens!)
Looking at just senior ladies skaters:
Liza T - 10+ (9+ for ISU)
Adelina - 5 (4 for ISU)
Yulia - 5 (4 for ISU)
Elena - 6 (5 for ISU) - withdrew from everything in 2018/2019 - so really more like 5 (4 for ISU)
Evgenia - 6? - withdrew from everything in 2020/2021 - so really more like 5? (not retired but can she make it back?)
Serafima - 5? (not officially retired but hasn't been seen at all since 2019/2020 - can she make it make to even to CS? Only 3 GPs in 5 years - does she want to still skate?)
Polina - 2 (did get a bronze at a GP but injuries forced her to retire)
Anastasia G - 2? (hasn't been seen internationally since 2018/2019 and didn't compete at all domestically in 2020/2021 - although the pandemic played a role in that - but also didn't get any international assignments in 2019/2020 and CS/GP still occurred in 2019/2020. Has never received a GP and only 2 CS - will she still continue? Can she even make it to CS?)
Anna - 2+ (not much to say here haha - going to Worlds in 2021 and a contender for the Olympics (team and OGM) in 2022)
Anastasia T - 0+? (hasn't even made her senior international debut yet?
Can she even make it out of Russia to a CS?)
Sasha - 2+ (again not much to say here haha - going to Worlds in 2021 and a contender for the Olympics (team and OGM) in 2022)
So, looking at that original list, 11 skaters between 2005-2017 (12 years) made it to the senior level as singles at all. Of those, 2 have never even received a GP and one of those has never even had a CS/debuted internationally. So really only, Liza T, Adelina, Yulia, Elena, Evgenia, Anna, and Sasha (7 girls) have gone on to successful senior careers and Anna and Sasha are only second year seniors. 7 girls in 12 years with an average senior career of 5 years? if you make it (and up until Elena they had the advantage of an "extra" year of GPs.)
We just watched
novice girls
sobbing because they placed second/third, when statistically speaking the odds aren't great that they even make it to seniors much less that they have a successful career which likely spans 4-5 years?
There should be
so much less pressure on the novices. Just let them skate. Their coaches and parents should be ashamed of themselves.
Let's not forget she's being taught to never let it go (really, he's still going on about Vancouver?). What good is that for Titova? And I don't think that the bloviating (yet again) about domestic judging is doing AoP skaters any favors.
