Ah! My first post on Golden Skate Forums.
First, let me say that I am a huge Caroline Zhang fan. Been watching her since she was 13 (and I was 14). It is so heart-wrenching to see her struggle like this. Hopefully, she is going to be a Shizuka Arakawa and not a Bebe Liang. Her bad technque seems to have finally done her in and she has not been able to skate well using good technique.
Caroline the most heart-breaking downward spiraler since Kimmie Meissner, although of course, she never came close to reaching the heights Kimmie did. It's obvious that Caroline's coaches let her get away with bad skating skills and technique for too long and now she's trying to fix that while also contending with body changes. My gut feeling is that it's too late but far be it from me to predict the future. I could be that she gets used to her new body and I can see that her jump technique is better.
I think that Mirai Nagasu has problems winning from first only at international competitions (witness her success at the 2008 Nationals). It is ony when she is competiting internationally (2008 Jr. Worlds, 2010 Senior Worlds, 2009 Cup of China, 2010 Cup of China) that she seems to falter. So if she skates a clean long tommorrow, I would not be surprised.
Mirai has been open about her struggles with being first in the SP. But I'm never surprised when she skates clean as it's clear she has it in her. She's a lot better trained now than she was at the beginning of the seasons so hopefully she'll be fine.
Christina Gao has been compared to Yu-Na Kim. Why? At 16, Yu-Na has already won multiple national championships and was medaling in the Sr. Grand Prix Series.
While I'm on the subject of Yu-Na Kim, I think I should point out that no US lady has ever finished ahead of her! Ever! That is the most jaw-dropping statistic, but it's true. Yu-Na Kim is the US Ladies' nemesis of nemesises. US ladies have beaten Mao Asada, but never Yu-Na Kim.
I think Christina has a looooooooooong way to go before she lives up to those Kim Yuna expectations. Besides Christina herself seems to have modest goals for now. She said after the SP that she was happy she did the 3-3 and a little disappointed that her 2a was shaky but as it's not one of her best jumps anyway, she was just glad she landed it. So I think she herself sees herself as a skater who has a ways to go.
Kim Yuna is everyone nemesis not just the U.S. ladies.
It wasn't just the U.S. ladies who couldn't beat her last year it was everybody. Except for Mao at worlds of course, but that was with Kim having two bad skates.
Rachael beat Kim Yuna once in a free skate and Mirai in a short skate. But in a more accurate sense, they both beat Yunas worst skates ever and Yuna really beat herself.
Alissa Czisny. There should be a book writen about her entitled Dr. Alissa and Ms. Cziny. When she's Dr. Alissa, she can be the best in the world. When she's Ms. Czisny, she can be the US's 10th best skater. Which Alissa will show up tommorrow night. That is the quintillion dollar question.
In the past, Alissa has been great or buried herself in the standings. This year seems to be different. Even when she messed up during the GP series she kept fighting and held on to the podium.
Rachel Flatt is the US's best technician. She actually did beat Yu-Na Kim in a long program. But not overall. However, she never seems to relate well to her music selections. I think her best program was her long from 2006-2007.
I've never thought Rachael's problem was musicality. She's pretty musical, IMO. Her problem is more with body language and lines. And I thought her SP did the best ever to show her off and maximize her strengths and minimize her weaknesses. I never realized Rachael had such lovely ina bauers and spread eagles until her exhibition program this year and I'm so glad she included them in the new SP. Her biggest nemesis are the spins, though.