When she was roped into Skate America 2002 she compared herself to Michael Corleone of the Godfather -- "Just when I think I'm out, they pull me back in."
Do any of you think that just maybe, if she didn't do SA that year, things might have been a little different? I'm talking in terms of performance, not placements. She knew all she had to do to win any events that year was to show up.
I don't think there was a winter event (I think there was some kind of special but that was it) so she wouldn't get to compete again until Nats.
IIRC, her plan to take it easy almost backfired, when she qualified for the GP final with just that one event. Anyway, much to her own surprise and delight she coasted to the U.S. title and to her fifth world championship, even while cutting back on both technical content and choreography.
I agree that the plan almost backfired, but I'm thinking long-term here. Even with the fact that she "had" to do SA in 2002, she still had a much lighter schedule from 2002-2005. Now, here's the thing: she's slipping. This is where I think her "plan" is backfiring. Not necessarily quickly, but it's happening. She went from 1st to 4th in the rankings. She's losing her consistency. She's doing much easier routines. She's gone through a period of "taking it easy" so it might be harder to get back into it, especially in a one-year period.
But it gets even worse: even after all of this, she's managed to retain her National title. I guarantee you that if it had been otherwise, she would have been forced to get her game on much sooner. Not to mention that the U.S.F.S. should have taken up the new system at least this year.
So nationally, she's still managed to stay on top. But internationally, she's slowly losing her game. It got so far that the Worlds QR rattled her and nearly took her out of contention for a medal.
I say this with the assumption that she's aiming for gold in 06. If she isn't, then what she did was perfectly fine. Add to the fact that the pressure of tying the record for most national titles this year got to her. It will be even greater next year when she attempts to, and succeeds in, breaking that record. As for the Olympics, it depends on whether she shows up this season or not. WIll she do the GP? I don't know, and don't really care that much actually- the circuit seems to be doing just fine without her.