- Joined
- Nov 12, 2009
Korobeynikova would have to be perfect and Liza and Adelina would have to royally bomb... Their PCS over Korobeynikova is monstrously bigger and it's highly unlikely that Korobeynikova will go from 10th, 7th, 10th to number 2 in one season given the slew of other girls who have higher scoring potential than her.
Liza has low PCS. Her margin over Korobeynikova and Pogorilaya is only a few points as is, usually she is somewhere in the mid-50s and Korobeynikova and Pogorilaya are around 50ish. If she bombs the SP and makes other mistakes, that margin can easily be eaten up. Plus if Polina and Anna skate well on the GP, their PCS are likely to rise, especially Anna as she is on a very fast upward trajectory since last season and is growing very quickly, looks much less like a little girl now seeing the recent pictures on her VK, with a more mature appearance and good jumping performance on the senior GP this season, I think her PCS could easily rise to the level of Liza, and then Adelina is not that much higher and she usually gives up lots of points with the mistakes she makes. Liza and Adelina are favored for sure, but I would not count out Polina or Anna just yet. Anna even has 2 GPs after competing on the JGP for only one season as a complete unknown, that is saying something about the Fed's willingness to promote her.