I honestly believe if I/Z didn't fall at COR, the tone of this conversation would be considerably different. Their real handicap this year, unfortunate mishaps aside are their unusual programs, because blade to ice, chemistry and artistry, IMHO, they are the best Russian ice dance pair. I absolutely love their choices this year, but it appears that the judges aren't willing to deviate from same old same old, especially for a team that hasn't got it's act together yet. So they have a major choice to make, stick to the rules written and unwritten and win or deviate and pay the price. If you're going to go the route less traveled, you have to be perfectly spot on. I hope they take something like Nikiya's death scene from La Bayadere in the future as Ilinykh more than has the chops for it. Looking forward to nationals.
You could be right, who knows.
I agree that IZ are very good. Personally, I think Lena is the best female dancer in Russia for sure. But, as a team, in general, I think they are overdone dramatically....what can I say, it is a delicate balance between true depth and kitsch. On the other hand, some teams don't have enough drama and are too bland... again, it is an art to strike the right balance.
Over-dramatizing aside, I don't think that the problem, if you can even call it a 'problem', for IZ this year is the judges so much as I don't think they made the best choices in terms of programs. I really like IZ, but I have never made it a secret that I don't like their SD. It is not that the judges want the same old same old, maybe they do, but I think they want to see a modern take to "appropriate" music. As for their FD, it is beautifully choreographed by Najarro and he is a dance artist, a fantastic choreographer, but at times I feel IZ simply get lost in the intricacies of the choreography.
While modern ballet/dance has the liberty of matching choreography to the smallest detail to modern music making it a cohesive unit, ice-dance, not so much. I feel ice-dance is not as flexible to getting lost in the choreography as ballet. There are required steps and elements, a constraint a modern ballet does not have, which simply are discordant with certain types of music or which simply break up the flow.
For the SD, yeah yeah, I know, you will say all that matters is the right beat, as long as they have the correct waltz beat it is ok. But in my opinion, music is more than just a beat, no? Dance, including ice-dance, the way I see it, cannot be truly separated from the music experience.
So, for example, while I didn't seriously dislike WP's Elvis, I am glad they changed it and think the new choice fits the RW much better.
As for the Russian teams, I do think BS are the most steady this year. They are technically very good and as far as their programs go, I think they chose well for themselves. SK on the other hand, have some more work to do, but I must say, they have improved considerably and are certainly not far behind IZ or BS. I do think SK's program choices are better than IZ's this year, but we'll have to see.
Things may still change and shift around as the season continues.

I guess he's pretty dissapointed, because before the start of the GPF he said they have a real shot for the win (here: