I'd ask the same question of you. When you speak of smaller sports that are booming, do you mean sports that started tiny but have recently seen significant influxes of participation? Or sports where participation remains very niche, but those few athletes are able to attract large audiences?
I meant "smaller" sports in general - people sometimes talk about soccer or football or ice hockey, but I think it's clear that figure skating is not and never will be on that level of popularity, neither grassroot participation nor viewing numbers.
There are very different small sports with very different developments, and in my eyes it makes more sense to look at what they are doing or not doing, what "works", what "doesn't work" than to think of figure skating in the past - because the media landscape has just massively changed, the way people are shaping their recreational life has changed, society has changed. There might be a few things to take from the past, but in general I don't think it is very helpful to try to recreate that time in figure skating because we do not have the same circumstances.
So when I say "looking at other smaller sports" I mean we should take more general factors into view that shape the interest in a sport, both in participation and passive interest. Factors such as:
- accessibility
- media presence, existence of idols, active promotion on (social) media
- all kinds of financing and funding, state sponsorships, scholarships
- structures and organization
- competition formats
- perspectives for athletes
- time needed for training
- image, history and narrative of the sport
...
And of course all these factors are different in the different countries.
The original thesis focused on a discrepancy in the last point in different cultures for figure skating, but I don't agree with the statements being made, nor do I think it's the major definining factor.
I think there are many possibilities to actively promote a sport, and while some factors cannot really be changed or at least not easily, others can. My original point the OP was discussing was that there are possibilities to promote the sport differently and more actively on social media. Mathematician refutes that that would change anything for real, since he is sure that the main issue is an underlying cultural aspect that would require societies to change first.
Sports climbing has become massively popular at least in my country in the last ~20, but especially 5 years - as a niche sport still. It will never be soccer, which is 90% of sports here, actively and in media coverage, but it has a lot of participants and also a lot of people have become interested in going to events and following the top athletes. That's due to factors like easier availability, and it becoming Olympic has helped massively - but another main factor is that it is "instagramable" and that the young athletes are active on social media, they are perceived as "cool", relaxed, having fun. There are also other smaller sports though, rather traditional ones, like badminton or table tennis, which have seen an uptick in popularity at least in some countries. I can't get over the fact that track cycling is able to gather rather huge crowds.
I think there are lots of factors and numbers which would need to be studied, and I hope the ISU is doing so, to find out the true popularity and what can be done. It is not easy for figure skating as it really is much more influenced by culture (due to the images presented within competition) than most other sports. But personally I'm pretty sure that there are factors like promotion, changes in structures etc. can be made, and that it should not just be accepted that figure skating as a viewer's sport is one for old people at best.
If I look at another site the grassroot level of figure skating seems to be booming in the US. In Germany it's definitely not, which is probably due to a million factors.
If I did a real study I would probably start with getting:
- starters numbers for the last 30 years, male and female, in different countries
- viewers' numbers, tv and streams, differentiating free and payed
- life spectators' numbers, in relation to ticket prices
- costs for a hobby athlete
- costs to become an Olympian
- (job/future) perspectives for athletes
- scholarships, sponsorships, state funding
- image of the sport among different groups of people