I love Lynn & Logan, and it is not beyond the bounds of probability that they will take the 3rd spot at US Nationals. I still would put them in different costumes for the FD though.
First the boring numbers:
Lynn & Logan at Ice Challenge SD
51.88 / PCS ahead of C&L, but 3 downgrades vs. their NHK performance
Rhumba, level 2 both sequences (Level 3 for both at NHK)
Level 3 on the twizzles, (Level 4 at NHK)
Level 2 on the steps
Level 4 on the lift
No video exists on youtube of Ice Challenge, but in any case, their NHK performance was better technically.
At NHK they managed level 3 on the rhumba, both sequences, and level 4 on the the twizzles
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BuFj_jJHK9g
They won the FD over Cannuscio & Lorello at Ice Challenge, for the overall win. This is important, because they were ahead of them at US Nationals last year. It keeps them in the hunt for that 3rd spot. It was not good that C&L beat them in the SD.
Their FD at Ice Challenge
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPFijzFX0ug
86.19 to 82.14, with higher tech marks, very positive GOE on all elements
Straight line lift level 2-it's gorgeous, but it's level 2 because they didn't hold it long enough, a small mistake, but costly, for a loss of 1.2 points. It earned level 4 at NHK, for a total of 4.71. Here it only earned 3.5.
Twizzle level 4
Rotational lift level 4
Midline step level 3
Curved lift level 4
Circular step level 3
Spin Level 4
All very respectable, top level tech.
Lynn & Logan from the Gala for Ice Challenge
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9xIli0Xw2L4
Parker Pennington interviewed them 7 months ago
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f2FTwxW27fs
Lynn & Logan both admired Lang & Tchernyshev, and you can really see it in their skating. Lynn, like Naomi, hits really gorgeous positions.
I really enjoyed them at US Nationals last year. They would have placed 3rd, perhaps if not for mistakes.
And that's their problem: they make small mistakes, as in the lift in the FD at Ice Challenge, and large mistakes as in falling at US Nationals. It's pretty random. An element that looks good at one outing will be not so good at the next. Although I don't have video of their SD at Ice Challenge, clearly it was not nearly as clean a technical performance as at NHK. They have the technical ability; they need consistency.
They also need more speed. And if I were them, I'd get over to Krylova and learn how to do the ladies' steps in the rhumba sequence so that they can get level 4 on both of them. That's the biggest point getter they could do right now. And it still drives opinion in ice dance to nail the CD/pattern dance.
The FD is one song, at one level, and is pretty open. You generally don't get penalized for that at US Nationals, especially since they'd have been advised to change it at Champs Camp if the US powers that be hated this dance. Since they were assigned to a GP event, they were at Champs Camp this year.
They are a complete and total contrast to the Shibutanis. Great interaction between them. Great storytelling ability, and they definitely bring the sizzle, and amazing, unique lifts.
I hope they'll skate flawlessly at US Nationals this year.