So because everyone has been explaining the Sochi results with the word 'technical' and 'jumps,' I wanted to look over GOEs of each skater. I noticed that on Yuna's FS double axles, she did footwork, and an ina bauer, and her final spin sequence all immediately preceding or following---and they were ranked lower than Sotnikova's stand alone double axel, which she just skated to after her triple Salchow, with no musicality and 0 component or footwork elements.
That said, I think a more fascinating exercise in this is comparing the skaters to themselves, in addition to eachother---in order to get some sense of the judges' standards.
Shorts:
Adelina short at Europeans 2014:
She gave basically an identical short program to Sochi. At Sochi her score went up half a point on her step sequence, and then just slightly on her opening combo. Her components did go up two points. Particularly her interpretation went from a 7.75 to a 9.04. By comparison, Yuna received harsher GOEs during her short at the 13' WCs, with an edge call on her flip. It is hard to compare Yuna's Sochi GOEs to anything earlier than that, so the short requires a more direct comparison of the skaters to make a case.
One point I want to focus on again weirdly, is the 2A. Both at Worlds and at Sochi Yuna did spread eagles going into her 2A, whereas Adelina jumped into her's without a transition. For Send in the Clowns Yuna did a two eagles on both edges. That one got her a better GOE than Adelina, but it was still not even a tenth of a point (1.07 vs 1.00). The one at Worlds was marked less than 1.00. Now I know these are in part different competitions, and Adelina does have a great axel jump---but this is one discrepancy I can't really explain.
Other than that, should Yuna's 3Lz+3T really have lower GOE than Adelina's 3T+3T? Again, Yuna's GOE here actually went up from Worlds (at least in the short). In both instances Yuna was skating in an earlier group, but it is known as her show piece element. Nonetheless it is a harder argument to make objectively.
EuroCh scores short:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/ec2014/ec2014_Ladies_SP_Scores.pdf
WC2013 scores:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/wc2013/wc2013_Ladies_SP_Scores.pdf
Sochi scores (short):
http://www.sochi2014.com/en/figure-skating-ladies-short-program
Free Skates:
Where things get interesting to me is comparing Adelina's long program GOEs at the European Champions to those at Sochi. It wasn't a clean skate, but many elements were clean, and performed at least as well as they were at Sochi. Her 3F went from 1.1 to 1.5. Her 2A+3T went from 1.4 to 1.8. She has a 3S+2T at Euros with a .4 GOE, and then a 3S by itself at Sochi (which again, she did without transitions) that got a 1.20 GOE. Her 2A on its own (no transitions) went from .64 at Euros to 1.07 at Sochi.
This is an overall extra 2.43 points added to Adelina's own standard, granted at the judges discretion.
EuroCh scores long:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/ec2014/ec2014_Ladies_FS_Scores.pdf
Sochi scores (free skate):
http://www.sochi2014.com/en/figure-skating-ladies-free-skating
Yuna:
Going back to Yuna's Worlds, her free skate actually was not judged so harshly. In fact comparing her 2013 free skate at Worlds to Sochi, she went down from a 1.90 vs a 1.60 GOE on her opening combination. Her 3F is 1.90 to a 1.20 (no lip on either). Her step sequence was 1.40 vs 1.14. And speaking of her double axel, her combination spin (otherwise identical) was .5 higher at Worlds, despite not having that complicated backwards entry, immediately out of a jump.
This is a loss of 1.76 points on Yuna's standard of GOE, again purely at the discretion of the judges.
WC2013 scores:
http://www.isuresults.com/results/wc2013/wc2013_Ladies_FS_Scores.pdf
Sochi scores (free skate):
http://www.sochi2014.com/en/figure-skating-ladies-free-skating
Overall we have a swing of 4.19 points in Adelina's favor, purely in the discrepancy between how many points each skater was awarded in the past for clean elements. This is without considering component scores, or actually looking at the elements themselves to come up with a more pure/abstract standard of excellence.
So I mean, when considering the legitimacy of GOE scores you can look at what you think the elements are worth themselves. I supposed you could argue that reputation scoring just kicked in at the right time for Sotnikova (although she didn't skate clean during the free at Euro... so maybe not), and tapered off at the wrong time for Yuna. But there does seem to be a systematic pattern of lowering Yuna's GOEs and elevating Sotnikova's. Cinquanta wants evidence---to me this is evidence.
Largely the controversy stems from the idea of figure skating judges' impunity over scoring. Sotnikova's defenders kept bringing up TES---the base value for all her elements. 1 more triple=5 more points=winning by 5 points. While this argument ignores the component half of the score, and seems to espouse the idea of skating as a "sport" and the notion that objectivity trumps artistic impression---it is very important to investigate how the GOE system allows judges to shape the technical elements score practically as much as the components score . There are 12 technical elements in a free skate---for every one of those elements the judges have impunity to bolster the base value, and to a lesser extent subtract from that base value---creating a 6 point swing. There are
some rules for how these points are handed out (two foot landing, etc have mandatory minuses), however of each skater's program is within 5 points of one another, and they all skate relatively clean programs, it essentially allows the judges to choose who's program was technically the best. Awarding these points isn't a matter of technical difficulty, it is a matter of personal discretion on the judges' parts.
So in close, Yuna performed three 3Lz and two 3F. Adelina performed one more triple overall, and that triple was in the bonus section of the free skate. But where as Yuna performed a 3Lz in the bonus section, Adelina performed an easier 3F. Adelina's extra bonus section triple was a 3T, which is the easiest jump. To say Adelina's program was that much more technically difficult as an explanation for the outcome is simply a matter of spin and obfuscation. The competition at Sochi between Yuna and Adelina was decided by GOEs and PCS which the judges have full control over. It was the judges
preference that decided the OGM at Sochi. Not the difficuly of triple or spin or footwork sequence from Adelina.