I did said breakdown but cant find it either. So I will make a new shorter version. First we have to consider National team members and who dont qualify but is likely to compete anyway. Tuktamysheva and Gulyakova is allmost guaranteed to take part if they are well by then. Then Its Medvedeva and Sinitsyna who we know absolutely nothing of so your guess is as good as mine But that means there are 14-16 spots up for grabs in the cup. People who are deffenetly in areI swear I read a breakdown last week of who still had a chance at Nats and how high they’d need to place but of course I can’t find it now, sigh.
Trusova (36p), Sherbakova (36p), Usasheva (30p), Frolova (28p), Kromykh (28p), Samodurova (24p), Nugomanova (18p).
We will assume Kostornaia (16p) and Valieva (16p) to join this group without any issue. That makes 9 skaters meaning another 5-7 skaters can make it.
The ones with 2 events allready skated are:
Talalykina (18p), Shulskaya (14p), Molchanova (14p), Konstantinova (12p), Onishenko (10p).
This week its Tarakanova (4p), Tsibinova (8p) and Sultanmagomeva (10p) fighting for the last spots. Hwoever makes third (14p) behind Valieva and Kostornaia is deffenetly in so is the one placing 4th (12pts). If Tsibinova or Sultanmagomeva is 5th (10p) they are also in but if its Tarakanova it will come down to the total score between all the skaters with 14pts.
Last to consider is Konstantinova who is also a national team member (right?) and might be subbed in like the other national team members failing to qualify. So Tarakanova needs to be 3rd or 4th to be in the clear but 5th with a good score (189.57 to overtake Shulskaya) might be enough. And I think that is totally doable. She is imo a better skater than both Sultanmagomeva and Tsibinova and then of course we have the rest with no real chance of qualifying but might stage an upset (Kostina, 2x Oklandikova and Parinova)