gio said:
Will we see any particular jump combo or jump sequence at oly? I think not! All because of this NJS.
What does this mean? We won't see any specific jump combos, only generic ones?
The ladies will do 3Z/2T and men 3F/3T or max 3A/3T. Why would a skater risk doing a difficult 3Z/3L, when she/he can take the same points doing the same jumps as solo jumps with easier combos.
I don't know. I expect we will see quad combos, and 3lutz-3toe, in the men's short program, and Miki Ando may continue to attempt 3lutz-3loop in her short. There are a few other ladies who will likely attempt triple-triples in the short as well.
Since there are fewer jump elements in the SP, i.e., only one solo jump besides the axel, there's more incentive to include the harder combinations IF the skater is likely to land them cleanly or at least to get credit for rotating both jumps as planned. In the long program the strategies for maximizing points are somewhat different.
Nobody will repeat the difficult sequence that Plush did (3A/half loop/3F), beacause of the stupid 20%minus.
I agree that the discounting of sequences is stupid. Of course, I doubt we'd see that sequence anyway, or only from Plyushenko, since it's difficult enough that no one else was doing it in the old system either.
Will someone do a one foot axel into triple salchow?
Probably not. Again, it was rare in the old system as well. And the one-foot axel uses up a combination without being worth even as much as a double toe, so the current system discourages it. I can think of ways to redefine the scoring of combos and sequences to encourage that sort of thing instead, but will the powers that be ever come up with such changes? Too late for these Olympics anyway.
Or a split jump into triple toe? I think not.
Actually, that's not discouraged at all. The split jump counts as a transition and doesn't use up one of the allowed combinations, so there's no downside to doing it and possible reward in the transitions mark, or even in the GOE for the triple toe because of the special approach.
I hope that this year ISU will change some rules regarding jumps.
Me too.
I still don't understand why they excluded the walley, the toeless lutz and inside axel from CoP.:scowl:
It's actually better that they didn't assign point values to these jumps. If they did, and a skater did one of them, it would fill up a jump slot that could otherwise have been used for a triple. As is, these jumps just count as transitions, so they don't earn points commensurate with their difficulty but they do enhance the transitions and perhaps choreography component(s), they can add to the GOEs of the triples if used as entrances into triples, and doing them doesn't prevent the skater from also doing a full complement of high-value jumps.
To encourage them more specifically, they could assign point values to these jumps and allow another "miscellaneous" element box they could fill instead of a jump box. A change I'd like to see in the future. (And I can think of other miscellaneous elements besides jumps that could also earn points, e.g., spread eagles.)