So many questions!
I am a fan of Sarah's skating that she performed in 2001 and 2002 in the Long Programs. I am not wild about her short programs, and I recognize the immaturity of the prior skating. She was out of shape in 2003 and didn't perform anything noteworthy. In essence, I enjoyed her Long Programs for two seasons and found her Olympic skate to be one of the best skates by a Gold Medalist in recent memory. She jumped and rotated especially well and hid her weaknesses the best she could successfully. And she wasn't nervous or tentative, she was at her best, in SLC.
I believe she has completed one year at Yale, originally planning a career as a medical doctor. This curriculum is tough and includes regular and advanced courses in multiple science classes all at the same time including calculus, inorganic chemistry, organic chemistry, kinetics, electricity & magnetism, wave and light physics, biology, molecular biology, physiology and multiple fields of laboratory science classes. We have not heard of Sarah becoming the best student at Yale, or doing well enough to be outstanding across the board, which is what one needs to do to earn enrollment to top tier medical schools.
So maybe her education goals and plans need to change. Maybe she doesn't want a medical career. It is such an inspiring and challenging and interesting career and profession that interest in it is very high, but the actual performance of it is different than what most understand initially, and it is enjoyed and performed by far fewer than were initially interested. In any event, her college is on hold and changing.
Then there is her conditioning. We have all heard of the "freshman 15" in which most normal college kids gain 15 pounds in the first year due to stress related eating, drinking beer at parties and less exercise due to heavier class loads. This seems to have happened to Sarah in some degree.
However, at just 20 years of age, and prior excellent conditioning and muscle memory, her abilities and muscle strength can return, under excellent guidence, very quickly. To regain the triple jumps, the most important element is the jumping ability, and this can be obtained by jumping doubles with enough height to complete triples, and gaining very secure landings. Once a skater is in shape enough to rotate quicker, then they can jump, pull in and hold it long enough to complete the rotations and land.
This can happen very quickly once the skater is in shape, it could be a matter of a couple of weeks, and then all the triples can be trained again. But the athlete must be trained into great physical shape.
There have been examples of athletes making this type of return, and they were all older than Sarah. Lu Chen lost all of her triple jumps and her double axel one year prior to Nagano. She returned and was training triple toe-triple toe by the Olympics. In 1994, Elaine Zayak trained one month at a time for one year, and lost a huge amount of weight and regained all of the triples she had mastered (she also did school figures and has only half of her left foot) and performed her hardest jump in the Short Program, bettering her difficulty from 1984.
Robin's choreography on Sarah was a great example of a skater who developed skills without compulsory figures, but with a full MITF upbringing. MITF are like the school figures, only larger and covering the entire rink. Many skaters work on them so much that they can come close to tracing them! A skater can not progress without them in the US. This is how they were able to do so many in between moves, double turns, flowing elements and transitions into her programs. Sarah also had good footwork and spins.
Sarah was a CoP friendly skater for her Long Programs, and if she could return to 6 triple programs, she could compete. It would take a return of one of her triple-triple combinations to be poduim worthy. I say she could do it, possibly, but not in enough time for 2006. If she completely commits to it, maybe 2010, with lots of hard work and luck.