I did set a low expectation, but this is still lower than my expectation. :hopelessness:
His performance is not as bad as his score suggests. He always does poorly in the GP, especially in the first GP competition. He seems like the sort of guy that needs competition experience to get his nerve under control. The first GP is always the first competition of a season where he faces real pressure. (Senior b competitions have little pressure. ) So his first GP performance is almost always his worst performance of a season. With more competition experience on the GP, he peaks at GPF and National. After a long break from National, his performances in the first competition after national (2013 4CC, 2014 Olympics, 2015 WC) tend to be subpar as well (but not as bad as his GP performances). It seems that a long break makes him lose a bit of his competitive mindset. But after this competition, his performance at the following competition will be a lot better, but not as good as his GPF and National performances.
I did think his SP is more risky than his LP. However, I still hoped he would only make 1 mistake, instead of 2 mistakes in the SP. At this rate, we will see a clean LP before a clean SP from him.
He needs to think of a backup plan in case he pops his 4t in the SP. It's not the first time he popped his quad in the SP. He also popped the 4t at COC last year. I think a backup plan may look like this.
1. If he triples the quad, he sholud jump 3lz-2t.
2. If he doubles the quad, he should jump 3lz-2lo.
3. If he singles the quad, he should jump 3lz-3t (i.e. no change.)