The interesting thing about these rule changes is looking to see who is going to be favored by them.
In pairs, it looks like Obertas & Slavnov to me, especially when you get into the meat and potatoes of the Scale of Values and the GOE guidelines. Here's why:
1. The throw triple flip (or triple lutz) has been upgraded to 5.5 base points from 5.0 (it used to be 5.0, same as the triple loop). O&S and S&S both do the 3FTh. Since they are still one symbol, I'm assuming you can't do both a throw flip and throw lutz in the same program. If you can, it would be even more interesting.
2. The rules for 'extra levels' are downgraded on twists. Last year to get level four, you had to have an 180 degree split. That is no longer mentioned. And the base values for triple twists and quad twists have been raised. O&S have a quad twist and were doing it regularly in the 2004 2005 season. They tend to have a chest crash however many twists they do. "Awkward catch" is deliberately limited to -1 penalty.
Additionally, several types of takeoffs for twists have been added. In addition to the flip/lutz entrance, we now have points for a toe entrance and an axel entrance,with the explanation that these entrances used to be done in the past. Does anyone know who used to do these entrances? I will have to check out vids of G&G and pairs of that era-perhaps Cherkosova/Shakrai from earlier times?
3. To add insult to injury, the twistmeisters can now do triple twists in the SP as well. This, however, will aid all the Chinese pairs in addition to O&S.
4. Anti-Zhang's points. Unison between jumps is now penalized as much as -3. If you recall some of the Zhangs 2A3T combo's, they didn't have the slightest bit of unison. And they had no penalty. Not now.
5. Shen & Zhao penalty. One skill has been removed from the free program. Nearly all pairs have been doing an inside death spiral and an outside death spiral. Outside spiral get an extra point. S&Z are the only pair that does a forward outside spiral so they do both a forward outside and a back outside spiral, giving them one base point above the rest. Poof. That point is now gone. Plus this favors teams with stamina problems (PetTikhs) some too, but it's a double edged sword. Teams with no stamina problems can now move one jump or throw into the second half of the program for the extra 1.1 multiplier/bonus.
6. Both skaters have weak jumps--2 if both fall. (Used to be just -1, whichever happened, one or two falls) This is probably logical.
7. Loss of rhythm between 2 jumps-this is a typical Pang & Tong difficulty. She has little bitty fast rotating jumps. He has big slow rotating jumps. If one or the other isn't falling, there is either a unison or a rhythm problem or both. Penalties are now more severe, or at least more explicitly severe.
8. For Marcoux & Buntin, they are double twisters and do 3Sth and 3Lpth. Plus they had superior death spirals for high GOE. Now they get only one death spiral. They had a 3Tw, but like I&B, it wasn't a very good one
9. Dube & Davison-increased explicit penalties for irregularities in lifts-something they had a lot of this season, but which I hope they will have less of. And since they are just up from juniors, it's only a year ago that they competed with a 13 skill program. They are also double twisters though.
10. Inoue & Baldwin-they lose .5 advantage on the 3ATh, and they are double twisters. However, they used to do a triple twist, if not well. They are probably going to have to brush it off and use it again, at least in one of the 2 programs if not both.
However, it must be remembered that no one has been falling on jumps like Julia Obertas this year. To take advantage of all this, she has to get her act together.
While we're on the subject of twists, after watching the Novice pairs at Liberty, I don't think that higher values for twists are called for. When you have a little bitty girl and a big guy he can throw her higher. Some of the novice pairs had absolutely huge twists on the order of the Chinese. Twist height is mostly about the same skills as the caber toss in the Scottish games or the shotput. It's not a real skating skill.