Junhwan Cha

rachno2

Record Breaker
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
I hate to say this at the expense of other skaters, but given the CoR disaster, what would it take for Junhwan to make GPF?

Messing off the podium and Samarin third or lower at IdF, I believe. Junhwan is looking good :) I think he will definitely be first alternate at least
 

Metis

Shepherdess of the Teal Deer
Record Breaker
Joined
Feb 14, 2018
Messing off the podium and Samarin third or lower at IdF, I believe. Junhwan is looking good :)

Or a WD. If he doesn’t make the cut and Samarin is third or lower at IdF, he’d be first alternate, yes?
 

icetug

Medalist
Joined
Apr 23, 2017
Messing got 13 points at SC. So even 4th place (9 pts) is enough to overcome Jun, I'm afraid (they would both have 22 pts, but silver puts higher than bronze).
So, Messing in 5th or lower, and at IdF: Samarin 3rd or lower, Jin and Aliev 2nd or lower - and GPF for Jun...
So, wishing all the skaters the best, still hope Jun can make it to the final.
 

nervosa

On the Ice
Joined
Jul 17, 2018
I hate to say this at the expense of other skaters, but given the CoR disaster, what would it take for Junhwan to make GPF?

I think Jun's chances of going to GPF are suddenly not bad... Here is the current qualification standings.

At this point, to qualify above Jun a skater needs to have gotten 7 points from their first event (5th place) and win their second event, but the two skaters w/ 7 points are Dmitri Aliev and Boyang Jin, their next assignment is GP France, and GP France has Nathan Chen. I'm counting them out.

With 9 points right now are Mikhail Kolyada and Alexander Samarin. I don't think Kolyada will make a miraculous comeback at Rostelecom, and I don't think Samarin will podium at GP France.

With 13 points is Keegan Messing. If he gets 5th or lower in Rostelecom, he's out. But 4th place could push Jun out.

Yuzuru and Nathan have both won their first GP, if they also win their second (not unlikely) and Keegan places 5th (not that unlikely), then Jun will (probably) qualify.

* Note that it could get more complicated with all the tiebreakers, which I don't entirely understand.

So in this fingers crossed scenario, the GPF would be Shoma, Yuzuru, Nathan (30 points each), Brezina (26 points), Voronov (24 points), and Jun squeaking in with 22 points.
 

SnowWhite

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 30, 2016
Country
Canada
I think Jun's chances of going to GPF are suddenly not bad... Here is the current qualification standings.

At this point, to qualify above Jun a skater needs to have gotten 7 points from their first event (5th place) and win their second event, but the two skaters w/ 7 points are Dmitri Aliev and Boyang Jin, their next assignment is GP France, and GP France has Nathan Chen. I'm counting them out.

With 9 points right now are Mikhail Kolyada and Alexander Samarin. I don't think Kolyada will make a miraculous comeback at Rostelecom, and I don't think Samarin will podium at GP France.

With 13 points is Keegan Messing. If he gets 5th or lower in Rostelecom, he's out. But 4th place could push Jun out.

Yuzuru and Nathan have both won their first GP, if they also win their second (not unlikely) and Keegan places 5th (not that unlikely), then Jun will (probably) qualify.

* Note that it could get more complicated with all the tiebreakers, which I don't entirely understand.

So in this fingers crossed scenario, the GPF would be Shoma, Yuzuru, Nathan (30 points each), Brezina (26 points), Voronov (24 points), and Jun squeaking in with 22 points.

Actually I wouldn't count Samarin out. If we assume Nathan wins, then Alexander's main competition will be: Aliev, Brown, Jin (although it's men so several others could factor in like Nadeau, Aymoz, Sahomin, etc.). In terms of SB, it goes Aliev (250.55), Samarin (248.78), Brown (234.97), Aymoz (230.09), Nadeau (227.76), Jin (227.28).

If Jin and Aliev skate well they'll both be ahead, and Samarin needs 2nd to pass Jun anyways. I'd count on Jin more than Aliev (who had 219 at NHK), but it's still a bit open there. I'd predict Alexander won't get silver, but I would not be that surprised if he did.

I'd rather see Jun make it than Samarin, but we have to wait and see.
 

Ichatdelune

Long live the Queen and her successors
Record Breaker
Joined
Mar 22, 2018
Country
South-Korea
I have given up on predicting the men a long time ago. I am just going to be proud of what Junhwan achieved in his first senior GPs, and if it happens that he goes to finals I am going to get out the booze.
 

Ichatdelune

Long live the Queen and her successors
Record Breaker
Joined
Mar 22, 2018
Country
South-Korea
I'm not getting out the booze yet, but my hands are inching closer to the beer fridge. If it does happen then what a feat, to go to finals at your first senior GP circuit, and as the first man from Korea to do it... But I'm getting ahead of myself.
 

TallyT

Here for the High Lord of Extra
Record Breaker
Joined
Apr 23, 2018
Country
Australia
That would cheer me up so much, so I'm crossing all fingers for him.
 

Ichatdelune

Long live the Queen and her successors
Record Breaker
Joined
Mar 22, 2018
Country
South-Korea
I don't want to wish another skater bad, but since Junhwan's ticket is decided at France... Well, we will know when we will know. Not getting the booze out just yet.
 

Arpakasso

Rinkside
Joined
Jan 23, 2018
I'm wishing all the best to Nathan Chen and Jin Boyang... because if they deal out the Gold and Silver amongst themselves, as they definitely have the potential to do, Jun might just be at the Final. And girl, would I love to see that! And who knows, maybe we'll get a surprise winner or at least surprise podium? There are few skaters at IdF I'm really into, but I think I'll just have to keep a close look at that competition!
 

LeeJiHye19

Final Flight
Joined
Dec 17, 2014
i don't plan to watch the IdP bc i don't find it interesting [maybe i'll just the ladies] but since jun's gpf future hang in there i think i will watch it
 

siberia82

Addicted to Canadian men's singles skating
Record Breaker
Joined
Jun 18, 2008
These SCI videos are over 3 weeks late, but better late than never...


TSN coverage (720p)

SP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xddmu

Men LP Group 2 Promo: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6ximwb

LP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xeu40


My 1080p Fancams

Men SP Group 1 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whcu4

Men LP Group 2 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whpfx

Men Medal Ceremony: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whrwy

Men Medal Ceremony Victory Lap: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6ws835

Jumbotron Welcome Montage: https://streamable.com/im66k (Streamable refuses to display it in 1080p, so you'll have to settle for 720p.)

Jumbotron Friday Highlights Montage: https://streamable.com/wbxzw (Streamable refuses to display it in 1080p, so you'll have to settle for 720p.)

Jumbotron Men Montage: https://streamable.com/mbxye (Streamable refuses to display it in 1080p, so you'll have to settle for 720p.)
 

LeeJiHye19

Final Flight
Joined
Dec 17, 2014
These SCI videos are over 3 weeks late, but better late than never...


TSN coverage (720p)

SP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xddmu

LP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xeu40


My 1080p Fancams

Men SP Group 1 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whcu4

Men LP Group 2 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whpfx

Men Medal Ceremony: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whrwy

Men Medal Ceremony Victory Lap: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6ws835

Jumbotron Welcome Montage: https://vimeo.com/298059851

Jumbotron Friday Highlights Montage: https://vimeo.com/298323072

Jumbotron Men Montage: https://vimeo.com/298323089

:thank: I am looking everywhere for another English commentators for Jun's programs :)
 

Imov

Medalist
Joined
Mar 1, 2018
These SCI videos are over 3 weeks late, but better late than never...


TSN coverage (720p)

SP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xddmu

LP: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6xeu40


My 1080p Fancams

Men SP Group 1 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whcu4

Men LP Group 2 Introduction: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whpfx

Men Medal Ceremony: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6whrwy

Men Medal Ceremony Victory Lap: https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x6ws835

Jumbotron Welcome Montage: https://vimeo.com/298059851

Jumbotron Friday Highlights Montage: https://vimeo.com/298323072

Jumbotron Men Montage: https://vimeo.com/298323089

thank you for these
 
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