She needs to fulfill that 1. and 2. if she wants gold medal. Mao with a squeaky-clean 2 programs should beat Yuna with a mistake. But if they both skate clean, Yuna might win.
Judges barely give any -GOEs for a flutz/lip-they just give 0 or -1. So a Mao with a flutz but no other mistakes should score very high, probably around 135~145..
If she goes clean it's definitely 140 at least, so the 3rd point is not so necessary. I wonder if just one mistake from Yuna would be enough because the advantage she will have after SP is going to be huuuuge. :think: And we all know it's not likely for Mao to skate clean. On the other hand a 3rd place finish seems pretty doable.