...
Taking the highest jump TES from this season's Worlds in the men's category and the added-up highest spin TES, step sequence score and PCS, and comparing it to the lowest equivalent each, we can see a bit of a different picture than the one painted by "raw points".
The maximum difference in points in the SP for jump elements is 35.84, for non-jump elements+PCS it's 30.7. Not too bad, right? A bit more variation in jump TES, but overall not that huge of a difference. So what's the issue? The Free Skate. The maximum difference in jump TES in the FS is 75.1, in everything else added up, it is 41.16 - Almost 34 (!) points more difference between the strongest and the weakest jumper, than between the strongest skater and weakest skater in everything else.
Does this also apply to the women's category? Absolutely not. In the SP, it is 15.29 in variance for jumps vs. 22.06 in non-jump elements+PCS, in the FS, it is 28.98 in jump elements and 35.78 in everything else added up. The women's field is scored much more closely together overall than the men's field (duh), and has much less of a difference in variance between jumps and the rest of the total score, with a bias towards non-jump elements being more valuable in creating score differences.
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Very interesting approach.
But I have to disagree.
The lowest jump elements in Short Program come from
Boyang Jin, right? 8.42 points. Comparing to Ilia's 44.26 points.
The lowest jump elements in Free Program come from
Roman Sadovski - 40.85 points. Comparing to Ilia's 115.95 points. I would rather compare to Adam or Yuma's points - 94.64 points and 86.40 points. Ilia's jumps elements were from 94 points to 101 points at Grand Prix competitions this season.
Let's see what happened in Free Program at World Championships 2024:
-
Roman Sadovski - two 4salchows' attempts, SIX jump elements with negative GOE.
- Another two skaters with jump elements on 46.18 points and 50.18 points - four and five jump elements with negative GOE.
-
Camden Pulkinen - quad jump and three jump elements with negative GOE - he gets 51.41 points for jump elements.
So we have skaters with low jump elements score, because they were making multiple mistakes. This time!
BUT on another time and on another place:
- One and half month ago
Boyang Jin achieved jump elements 33.32 points in Short Program at 4 Continents Championships 2024.
(8.42 points X 33.32 points)
-
Camden Pulkinen was able to create 77.06 points for jump elements at World Championship 2022.
( 51.41 points X 77.06 points)
-
Roman Sadovski got 63.25 points for jump elements despite two jump errors at GP Rostelecom Cup 2021.
(40.85 points X 63.25 points)
This season we had one skater who within one month at Grand Prix competition got jump elements 66.13 and 27.93 points (probably with injury), which is gap of 38.20 points.
Many years ago there was another skater who within 2 months at top competitions went from jump elements 55.36 to 27.26 points, which is gap of 28.10 points. Lack of experience and big expectations probably.
If you suggest that point gap in jump elements is too big between skaters...yes, it is.
Because we had quad skaters - Ilia, Adam, Yuma, Lukas - who did extra great job quad jumps including...and we had skaters who really didn't have a good day making multiple jump mistakes...
Why should ISU close the points gap between clean programs and programs with multiple mistakes? Once skaters will skate their jump content cleanly, they will themselves close the gap.
As to ladies... lowest jump score got lady who executed 1loop, 1lutz, 2flip, so nobody is surprised with low points. Next six ladies with four or five jump elements with negative GOE including underrotations. And so on. This is no way level of quality of those ladies, they definitely didn't execute what they were capable of. Which means that their points for jump elements are not reflecting their skating or jumping level.
Top ladies are landing triple jumps, ladies from 11-20 place are landing triple jumps, ladies not qualifying for Free Program are landing triple jumps. We rarely see quad attempt or triple axel attempt at international competitions. I don't expect big points gap in jump elements.
So the gap between the wealthy quadsters and the poor non-quadsters gets bigger and bigger in the LP... And it's not really possible to make up points with the non jumping elements.
Some pointed out the number of points Lukas and Jason got for their non jumping elements : about 17 points... Well, that amount of points for 3 spins, one step sequence and a choreo sequence, so five elements, is almost equivalent to a quad combo with good GOE... ONE JUMPING PASS.
....
Non quad skater doesn't need to compensate gap of 17 points, because instead of 4toeloop + 3toeloop (Adam for 16.04 points) they may execute for example 3lutz + 3toeloop (Jason for 11.79 points) or 3axel + 1Euler + 3salchow (Kao Miura for 14.17 points). So the gap between non quad and quad skater is less than 5 or less than 2 points. Which is possible to compensate in PCS for example.
For closer look let's go to Free Program at World Championships 2024:
- We got three no quad programs in top 10 -
Jason,
Deniss and
Mark Gorodnitsky. Their jump elements score was 60.77 points for Jason (with 1axel instead of double at the end and underrotated 3salchow in jump sequence), 58.06 points for Deniss (with underrotated 3salchow and 3loop, 2salchow instead of quad), 63.97 points for Mark with clean skate. Both Jason and Deniss lost let's say about 5 points for their mistakes.
- Because of
Mark Gorodnitsky's clean skate I will take his jump elements into account -
63.97 points.
-
Adam with four quad jumps got
94.64 points for jump elements.
-
Yuma with three quad jumps (but fall in 3axel) got
86.40 points.
-
Kao Miura with four quad jumps (two jump mistakes = negative GOE) got
72.13 points.
-
Lukas with two quad jumps got
71.78 points.
-
Mikhail Shaidorov - four fully rotated quad jump (but three jump mistakes) - with
65.55 points.
-
Shoma - four quad jumps (but three jump mistakes) got
63.13 points.
-
Hyungyeom Kim - quad jump (three jump mistakes) got
61.89 points.
-
Nikolaj Memola - quad jump (but with one jump mistake and ! in another jump) got
61.63 points.
-
Alexader Selevko with quad jump (but three jump mistakes) got
59.45 points.
-
Junhwan Cha with two quad jumps (but three jump mistakes including 1toeloop) got
58.76 points.
- And we can continue like that...because next few skaters had from one to three quad jumps...their range of jump elements was from
55.07 to 59.39 points.
RESULTS - part one:
1) Quad jumps are not saving anything if quad jump or triple jumps are executed with mistakes.
2) Skaters with one, two or three quad jumps, but with jump mistakes (= negative GOE) are losing to clean non quad program even in jump elements, what to speak about PCS. Only Mikhail Shaidorov with FOUR fully rotated quad jumps is able to get a little bit higher jumps elements than skater with clean non quad program.
If we look at quad skaters with CLEAN Free Programs:
- one quad jump - there was nobody at World Championships 2024 with clean skate - so I picked
Alexander Selevko from European Championships 2024 - all jumps with positive GOE and 4toeloop - jump element score 61.97 points...BUT his second axel was double only, with second 3axel he could get
around 66 points for jump elements
- two quad jumps -
Lukas Britschgi - all jumps with positive GOE and two 4toeloops -
71.78 points for jump elements
- three quad jumps – nobody, as Yuma fell on 3axel –
Yuma landed clean 3axel at 4 Continents Championships 2024 getting 11.31 points, at World Championships this element with fall got 5.03 points – so I added 6 points to his jump elements score at World Championships - 86.40 + 6 =
92.40 points
- four quad jumps -
Adam -
94.64 points
- six quad jumps –
Ilia – but I don’t want to take this program at World Championships, so I will take his clean skate at Skate America with four quad jumps =
98.09 points
AGAINST
- no quad program -
Mark -
63.97 points
Mark Gorodnitsky as a non quad skater is losing against quad skaters...in case of:
- one quad - loss of around 2 points
- two quad jumps - loss of 7.81 points
- three quad jumps - loss of 28.43 points
- four quad jumps – loss of 30.67 points or more looking at Ilia.
RESULTS - part two:
1) Point gap of 2.00 points or 7.81 points is not that big, it can possibly be compensated with superior PCS or / and Spins or / and Step Sequences. Which leads to situation that non quad skater is possibly able to compensate one or two quad jumps with superior other than quad jumps elements.
2) Point gap of 28.43 and 30.67 points and more points is too big to be compensated with superior non jump elements.
In this case I want to point out than 28.43 points and 30.67 points or more points gap is not caused only by the fact that skaters attempted quad jumps. It is MAINLY because those quad jumps were executed in extra quality AND SO WERE the rest of the jumps (with exception of Yuma’s second 3axel).
Just compare:
- 3lutz + 3toeloop combination - Jason got 11,79 points, Deniss 11.62 points, Yuma got 12.96 points, Yuma puts the combination into second part of the program. Ilia goes 3lutz + 3axel which has higher base value and executed in the second half of programs this jump element earns him 17.23 points.
- 3axel - Jason got 9.49 points, Adam got 10.86 points (Ilia in Short program 12.11 points).
OVERALL you can see that skaters without quad jump can still show great results - 5th, 7th and 12nd place. Jason with superior non jump elements and PCS is even able to beat overall Lukas with clean skate including one quad jump in Short Program and two quad jumps in Free Program (and like
@4everchan mentioned Lukas is great in Spins, so no loss in these elements).
I am not saying that today’s ISU Judging System is ideal.
But I think that this situation is playing for everybody's good. Quad skaters know that they need to work on non jump elements to get high score (which is no way ensured with quad jump's attempts only). And non quad skaters are supported to skate despite them not having quad jumps, because compensation of one or two quad jumps is still posssible. Win - win situation.
And less jump elements – it will play for non quad skaters.