It's not totally impossible or improbable for Karen to be ahead of the Koreans, Satoko and Loena. the judges definitely like her more than Loena and probably even the Koreans, and Satoko has a huge UR problem. if the technical panel is strict she will 100% be dinged. from what i have seen, all of them have around the same scoring potential.
i don't expect Bradie to beat Liza, but again it's not impossible if Liza isn't clean. she is extremely beatable if she makes mistakes.
very much agree. Alissa is one of my all time favorite skaters, she had it all when she could put it together- skating skills, nice jumps, interpretation, grace, class, and those SPINS. but she always had a problem with delivering under pressure until she switched to Yuka and Jason, and by that time it was too late for her to try to go for another olympics. her body couldn't do it anymore.