Although I can say Samarin didn't deserve to beat him at all, the overscoring at RusNats was outrageous. Just take a look at Alexander's 3A+3T landing and GOE vs Petr's 4S landing and GOE, and their PCS..
You mean Samarin's 3A-3T that only got positive GOE from a single judge, the same judge that gave Gumennik only -1 for a 3A with a 360 degree turn-out and a hand down when almost every other judge gave him -2 or -3, and seems to have just been scoring everybody generously, and the one positive GOE doesn't even count on because they remove the highest and lowest before calculating the average? You mean that one?
Compare to Gumennik's 4Sq which, to be completely honest with you, actually looked like more than a quarter under in real time so already that was pretty generous for him. First, we need to address The Question Of q (lord I promise that is the only time I will ever make that joke) as that has been causing some wonky scoring to begin with - historically, judges have given lower GEO for jumps landed on the quarter by giving it the negative bullet for a bad landing, since these jumps don't get the UR call. However, with the q mark now in place there is a deduction for this, so the judges are giving 1-2 point GOE deductions on top of the 1 point deduction for the bad landing, so the quarter rotation missing gets deducted twice. This is absolutely not Gumennik's fault, and it's not really the judges fault, and it's definitely not Samarin's fault, it's just a kink in the ever-evolving code of points.
Now, let's look at the GOE bullets for Gumennik's 4S:
1) very good height and very good length (of all jumps in a combo or sequence) I wouldn't say the height or distance of this jump is particularly impressive. I wouldn't take points from him for this but I wouldn't give them either.
2) good take-off and landing This is absolutely a negative bullet - ignoring the rotation issue, he bends over on the landing and his hand is pretty close to the ice
3) effortless throughout (including rhythm in Jump combination) That landing was not effortless. Also, he looked pretty slow going into the jump, plus the lack of rotation, and this is a negative.
4) steps before the jump, unexpected or creative entry He does have steps before the jump so this is a plus on this GOE bullet
5) very good body position from take-off to landing See the landing GOE bullet, he bent over quite a bit on the landing. He also looks like he doesn't know what to do with his hands/arms during the landing and just leaves them to hang. His body position was okay up until the landing, so I could justify leaving this neutral, but I could also justify a negative for the landing position
6) element matches the music I'm going to try to avoid any snarky 'No POTO programs should ever get this bullet' comments here, but there weren't really any musical accents at this stage for him to take off and land on. I suspect the change of direction after the jump was meant to be on 'to glance behind' but the timing didn't quite hit, so it looks like the bad landing messed him up on this bullet too; I could justify a negative bullet for that reason, but that's dependent on my presumption of his intent, so I'm giving him a neutral.
So, before the 1-2 points q deduction, this is looking to be a -2 jump: three negatives, one positive and 2 neutral.
But, two bullets could have gone either way - if I hadn't been enjoying a nice pot noodle while typing this, I might have given him a negative on bullet 6, and that would have turned this into a -3 jump even before the q, whereas if my pot noodle had been my favourite flavour (sticky rib) rather than the beef and tomato I had in the cupboard I might even have given it a -1. All but two judges gave Gumennik a -2 on this jump, with only one giving -3 and one giving -1. J7 who gave him the -3 was actually one of the most lenient with him on the other elements, so maybe he was tapping his foot under the table and stubbed his toe by accident right before that jump? Who Knows?
There are two things that really screwed Gumennik over big time in regards to this jump: 1) the key mistake (the bad landing) impacted multiple GOE bullets, not just one and 2) he had had visible issues on every element up until that point. The two double jumps on the opening 4-2-2 barely left the ice, the 3A had that huge turn-out and the hand down on the landing and the FCS ended up sliding across the ice towards the end and looked pretty laboured on the way out. Ironically, this is the same thing that ended up screwing Samarin over in his 2019 Worlds SP, but when you make multiple small mistakes in a row it tends to put the judges in a bad mood, and messing up your opening element can be a death sentence in a judged sport.
Now, let's look at Samarin's 3A-3T:
1) very good height and very good length (of all jumps in a combo or sequence) Honestly I'm trying not to use Samarin as the metric for this bullet because that's like using Jin Boyang as the metric for a good lutz edge. This actually isn't anywhere close to Samarin's best, but even with the camera zoomed out you can see he gets a good way off the ice. This is actually the place where Samarin benefits from reputation, because everybody knows that he normally clears the ice like my mother clears the living room after she sees a spider, so nobody is looking for a fault here.
2) good take-off and landing Obviously, the 360 degree step-out gives him a negative on this, no question.
3) effortless throughout (including rhythm in Jump combination) He goes in with decent speed and there's good flow throughout the combo -he stays in motion throughout the entire pass - it's just the landing of the 3T specifically that isn't effortless. A deduction for the 3T landing could be justified, but honestly that would be harsh. Here he benefits from this being a combo, because there are more positives on this bullet to counter the one negative; had it just been the 3T as a solo jump this would have gotten a negative, but everything up until the 3T landing saved him here.
4) steps before the jump, unexpected or creative entry Eh, this one I just don't feel like giving him. There are some turns/steps before the jump but they aren't immediately before the jump and he takes the jump out of a running edge - I could understand why somebody might give him this one, but I just don't want to. There isn't really a negative bullet for this category, and it's not like he does the jump straight out of a row of crossovers or anything.
5) very good body position from take-off to landing He stays upright throughout which puts him ahead of Gumennik on this one, he keeps his ankles together without a leg-wrap, no worrying tilt on the jump anywhere and he actually looks like he knows what he's doing with his hands/arms for the most part rather than just letting them hang which is nice
6) element matches the music Honestly this one I just never feel like giving out for jumps. He does take off right on the chorus - he leaves the ice right on "breaking" and land the 3T pretty much right on "me" so the whole combo should have covered the line "breaking every chain that you put on me", which I will admit is actually pretty nice and now I feel like I'm being a bit harsh with him. Again, I could understand why somebody would give him this one but I just don't want to.
So, that two positive, one negative and three neutral, which before the deduction for the step-out would give him a GOE of +1, which only one judge gave him. Assuming 1-2 points GOE deducted for the step-out (on top of the negative on bullet 2 for the same mistake) that would put him at 0 to -1, which all but one judge gave him. And that's with two of the bullets listed as "I just didn't feel like giving it to him". If I hadn't finished my lunch while reviewing Gumennik's 4S and if I didn't really need to pee right now I actually might have called this jump underscored.
Where Samarin benefits on this pass is that it's a combo, so it gives him more opportunity to get things right to counter the one thing her gets wrong, but also that the one mistake, the step-out,
doesn't impact multiple GOE bullets in the way Gumennik's does. If Gumennik's landing had been the second half of a combo (and had everything else in the combo been smooth) he wouldn't have gotten the negative for bullet 3 and if he had just had a step- or turn-out rather than the lean forwards with the dangling arms he wouldn't have gotten a negative (and might even have gotten a positive) for bullet 5. He also tend to benefit on his jumps from the fact that his biggest asset on them - the height, distance, speed and flow - is something that's very immediately visible, which helps earn favour with the judges.
Honestly I'll give a whole PCS breakdown some other day but let me just say that Samarin isn't actually overscored at all. Well, not any more than any other big-fed skater, anyway. A lot of PCS bullets, as vague as they are, are things you only need to demonstrate once or twice in the program to tick the box and then move on. That's what COP sports are - that's kinda what all sports are, really - a box ticking exercise. Tick the green box, you get a point. Tick the red box, you loose a point. For football/soccer, the green box is 'ball in your opponent's net' and the red box is 'offside' and you're just trying to tick green without ticking red. Figure Skating has more boxes but honestly it's the same basic principle.
You can enjoy his skating or not enjoy his skating but if there is one thing Samarin is undeniably good at it's ticking the right boxes. Don't hate on the guy because he studied to the exam specifications.
The fact is, if you want Figure Skating to remain a sport and not a beauty pageant then that means you have to implement some uniformity so that the sport can be scored somewhat objectively, and that's always going to mean a degree of box-ticking going on.