I like you suggestions.
It will be more pressure for quad men as quad jumps are more difficult. But IF clean - Ilia, Yuma and Adam will be keeping top spots.
From my previous comparison - with 7 jump elements the difference between skater with one or two quad jumps and non quad skater was around 2 points and 11 points. With 6 jump elements it will be around 0.5 point and 9.5 points.
Now quad skaters with jump mistakes are losing to non quad skaters in jump elements...with 6 jump elements they will be losing against non quad skaters even more. Which will sooner or later lead to less quad attempts. Which will lead ISU to increase Base Value of quad jumps. It will be kind of deja vu - back in 2010s. I am not sure that increasing (season 2008-09) and decreasing (season 2018-19) Base Value of jumps for each 10 years will lead anywhere.
I would like to be optimistic.
Do you really believe that one less jump element will lead to more space for transitions? Significantly?
I think that skaters will sacrifice jump element with lowest Base Value. Which is usually 3loop, 3salchow, 3flip or 2axel. In case of Adam it is 3axel. In case of Ilia 3lutz + 3axel.
If we look how much time skaters need to execute these jump elements:
- Jason's 2axel - 5.7 seconds
- Deniss' 3loop - 6.0 seconds
- Lukas' 3loop - 7.4 second
- Yuma's 3flip - 11.7 seconds
- Adam's 3axel - 7.2 seconds
- Ilia's 3lutz + 3axel - 5.7 seconds
Visit this link to download: YouCut_20240511_173239790.mp4
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Ilia executes his jump combination right after Ina Bauer as a part of Choreographic Sequences element, so his preparation time for the jump is around 0.3 seconds. That is really saving time for non jumps elements.
One less jump element with lowest Base Value means additional time from 5.7 to 11.7 points. Yes, it is better than nothing, but not really too much.
Overall flip, lutz and quad jumps are taking more time than 2axel or 3loop.
Surprisingly Ilia's quad jumps time is shorter than almost all Jason's triple jumps time. Only Ilia's 4axel takes more time. Ilia's 4loop and 4lutz and Yuma's 4salchow take less than 10 seconds, that's unbelievable. Jason's first three jump elements take over 10 seconds without jumps itself, with time of jumps it is more than 12, 13 and 15 seconds.
Another quad attempts (including combinations) from men above took from 10.8 to 15 seconds, which is still around Jason's time and Deniss' jump time for combinations.
But we may expect quad men from top 7 to 24 taking more time to execute quad jumps.
If we would really want to give skaters chance to have more space for transitions, we would need to persuade them to sacrifice jump elements which take the longest time in their Free Programs.
These are examples:
Visit this link to download: YouCut_20240511_173807233.mp4
files.fm
But I can no way imagine that they would sacrifice these jump elements. Mission impossible.