So let's see. FS is certainly the more difficult skate of the two, so who are most likely to do well and who won't be able to handle it?
First of all, IMO Medvedeva's FS is superior to her SP and a far more enjoyable watch for me so I'm expecting some crazy scores for her assuming she skates clean. 150+ easily.
As for Radionova, ugh. I really dislike the program. Still, she's been pretty consistent with it so I don't see her dropping much at all if she doesn't make some unexpected mistakes.
Lipnitskaya is the big question mark, however. She hasn't skated a single clean FS this season, not even close. Considering that she struggled with it last season as well and that the SP that she admittably succeeded with today never really was the issue, it's difficult to predict how she'll do. The hope would be that the emotional and technical growth she's shown would lead her to her best FS of the season, but will she skate clean?
Then we have Pogorilaya who was really good and would probably have been scored slightly better had she not skated so early. Her SP has been the main issue for her so I'm hoping that she can skate a clean FS. It might be enough for top 3 if someone(most likely Lipnitskaya) falters.
I guess I should also have Tsurskaya even though she's not old enough for senior competitions. She has very consistent jumps so I'm expecting her to skate clean, scoring somewhere around 130, hence around 200 in total. How far that will go will depend on how badly others will mess up, but currently she can't score much higher than that.
As for Tuktamysheva and Sotnikova, Tuktamysheva is the one I see having comeback potential even though the program itself is atrociously bad. She's been having much stronger FS's than SPs throughout the season and if she lands her 3A, she's able to get all the points she needs. The awful choreo will also probably not be penalized too badly in the PCS considering it's a national. Sotnikova on the other hand I'm absolutely certain will fail horribly. However, she will most likely get come completely insane PCS and +GOEs for a below mediocre performance, likely leaving her slightly above 200 points.
Hence, expected results for the FS:
1. Medvedeva
2. Radionova
3. Pogorilaya
4. Lipnitskaya
5. Tuktamysheva
6. Sotnikova
7. Tsurskaya
Here I'd also like to add that while I disregarded Yulia's tarot as relatively irrelevant as it was a minor arcana, it was pretty cool:
Nine of Swords, when reversed: Mental anguish or ill health endured and overcome. Refusal to be dragged down by the dishonor of others. Attempting to avert a shameful or regrettable act. Faithfulness, patience and unselfishness. May indicate the narrow avoidance of a death or other catastrophic loss.
So now that I think about her SP, it makes sense. Hopeful for her FS, then?