I think Gilles and Poirier can probably be penciled in for the Final.
I think their path to the GP is tougher than many anticipated. Hubbell & Donohue at SC and Sinitsina & Katsalapov, who defeated Gilles & Poirier head-to-head last year at Skate America. (And a few years ago at SA as well). G&P and S&K meet up twice, both at SC and in France. The field in France is one of the deeper ones. You've gotta think G&P have the advantage for a silver at home, but I think this will not be over until France. Hawayek & Baker will be there as well. So four former GP medalists in that event. Three at SC. Meanwhile only one at SA. Only two at NHK. Two at Rostelecom. Two in Finlandia (though, I think the Finlandia field is pretty tough actually with a lot of young upcoming talent). Gilles & Poirier have as good a chance to make the final as many, but they'll have to work for it. Stepanova & Bukin have a better draw. Zagorsky & Guerreiro have easier fields. And at the end of the day Sinitsina & Katsalapov are wildcards.
We could get something like this fighting for the last two spots, for example.
Zagorsky & Guerreiro-2nd & 3rd (or 2nd & 2nd).
Sinitsina & Katsalapov-2nd & 3rd.
Gilles & Poirier-2nd & 3rd.
Or . . .
Guignard & Fabbri-2nd & 3rd
Hawayek & Baker-2nd & 3rd
Gilles & Poirier-2nd & 3rd
G&P can get the two silvers, but dropping to third could leave any team in quite the hornet's next of a tie breaker.
I think Kihira will 90% get the NHK spot.
Looking at the assignments, Miyahara, Mihara, Higuchi, Honda, Sakamoto, Yamashita, and Matsuda already have 2 spots apiece. The 3 skaters from JPN with only 1 spot are Yuna Shiraiwa, Rika Hongo, and Rika Kihira. Both Shiraiwa and Hongo are competing at the Finnish GP right before NHK Trophy whereas Kihira was assigned to IDF which is weeks away from NHK.
The Japanese ladies can fight it out at the Asian Open or elsewhere. Or the federation can just monitor their progress and decide. Kihira was great at Japanese Nationals. It gives her a very strong argument. But she was very not great at Junior Worlds so if they want to monitor her progress first with other ladies who have their own international achievements, that's logical. Her SB score doesn't make the argument for her.
Wait Nazarova and Nikitin are representing Russia now?
It's a typo. They are listed for UKR at SA.
Carreira/Ponomarenko making their senior GP debut at Rostelecom! Whoa.
Nope. They make their senior GP debut in Finland. And then they go to Rostelecom.
Evgenia versus Elisabet and Panenkova in Canada LOL
More significantly, Evgenia versus Wakaba in Canada.
I still don't see how Gracie qualifies as a "comeback skater" based on her results at 2016 Worlds. If you read the rule to mean that the athlete cannot have competed subsequently at all. Not in one season or more seasons after being seeded, then she doesn't qualify based on 2016 Worlds because she competed internationally in 2016-2017.